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Critical hit

Unlike American audiences, critics seem to have long grown tired of Marvel movies

The new “Captain America” grossed $100 million in the US, despite pretty woeful reviews.

Tom Jones, David Crowther

Ugly and artless,” “Marvel’s rock bottom,” “the most feckless, spineless blockbuster of the last decade — it’s fair to say that if you were of two minds about splashing out on a ticket to see “Captain America: Brave New World” over Presidents Day weekend, the critical reception might have been enough to convince you to save your cash… and yet.

The new movie, the 35th installment in the Disney-owned Marvel Cinematic Universe, seems to be building on the studio’s impressive 2024, at least if its opening weekend is anything to go by. Disney is forecasting a $100 million domestic box office gross over the extended Presidents Day weekend. If accurate, the top four highest-grossing movies for the four-day period ever would now all be from the MCU. The film is also tipped to take more than $192 million around the world on its first weekend, which is no mean feat considering the critical mauling it received prerelease.

Slop machine

Anyone who’s kept up with the blockbuster discourse on how film buffs and reviewers feel about Marvel films will be well aware of the various criticisms leveled at the productions, though things feel like they’ve escalated around some recent releases, with Vulture arguing that the Disney-owned studio is now just a “giant slop machine.” Of course, millions of us love slop, even if we pretend not to sometimes.

While critic scores on the review aggregator Rotten Tomatoes might not make particularly great reading for recent releases like “Brave New World” (51%), “The Marvels” (62%), and “Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania” (46%), millions of moviegoers are still turning out to watch them, and many of the films are still turning out to be great earners for the House of Mouse. Bankrolling a movie with an unproven director, script, and characters feels risky in the current box office climate. Making Marvel movie number 36, 37, or 38? Probably a safe business bet, even if it won’t win you many Oscars.

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Prediction markets show “One Battle After Another” leads in Oscar race for Best Picture

It’s finally Oscars week — and with voting officially closed, all that’s left to do is count the ballots and wait to see who wins this Sunday night. 

This year, the acting categories have been the most interesting to watch, especially the showdown between “Marty Supreme” star Timothée Chalamet and “Sinners” actor Michael B. Jordan for Best Actor. While Chalamet was long the favorite, Jordan has caught up and overtaken him after winning the Actor Award.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

But perhaps the most exciting race of all is for Best Picture. Out of the 10 nominees, the two at the top are Paul Thomas Anderson’s “One Battle After Another” and Ryan Coogler’s “Sinners,” both of which are studio releases from Warner Bros. Discovery

Which will win the top prize seems to be split among award pundits and experts. As of Monday afternoon, Gold Derby still has “One Battle After Another” as the front-runner with odds of 76.87%. AwardsWatch, AwardsRadar, and Numlock Awards are also still predicting that “One Battle After Another” will take the statue for Best Picture.

On the other side, reporters from some major trade publications like Variety’s Clayton Davis and The Hollywood Reporter’s Scott Feinberg predict that “Sinners” will take the top honor.

Odds in the prediction markets currently show that “One Battle After Another” is still ahead of “Sinners,” with the former priced in at 75% while the latter is priced at 23%.

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