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Mikey Madison at 2024 Beyond Fest Screening Of "Anora"
(Rodin Eckenroth/Getty Images)

What’s a Best Picture Oscar actually worth at the box office?

About $2.5 million, if the past week for “Anora” is anything to go by.

Tom Jones

“Anora,” the indie flick that took home five statues at the 97th Academy Awards just over a week ago, is, at its heart, writer-director Sean Baker’s take on a classic rags-to-riches story. It seems fitting then, as one of the lowest-grossing Best Picture winners in modern Oscars history, that the film itself has seen a change in fortunes over the past week, notching a box office bump in the US.

Whirlwind

Based around the brief, chaotic romance between a sex worker and the son of a Russian oligarch, “Anora” was the seventh biggest film at the North American box office last week, after a theatrical expansion saw the film hit more than 800 extra screens. The $2.5 million haul in the seven days since its Oscars triumph was up ~7x from its takings the week before the ceremony, as Americans rushed out to watch the Academy’s latest darling. 

Anora box office boost chart
Sherwood News

While this post-Oscars surge has taken the film’s total gross to $46 million worldwide — impressive in light of its reported $6 million budget — it feels worthwile to note that “Mickey 17,” the latest release from Bong Joon Ho, who picked up Best Picture for “Parasite” back in 2020, made more in its “sluggish” debut this weekend than “Anora” has in 21 weeks. Even after its Oscars bump, “Anora” is still the lowest-grossing nonpandemic Best Picture of the last 45 years.

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Prediction markets show “One Battle After Another” leads in Oscar race for Best Picture

It’s finally Oscars week — and with voting officially closed, all that’s left to do is count the ballots and wait to see who wins this Sunday night. 

This year, the acting categories have been the most interesting to watch, especially the showdown between “Marty Supreme” star Timothée Chalamet and “Sinners” actor Michael B. Jordan for Best Actor. While Chalamet was long the favorite, Jordan has caught up and overtaken him after winning the Actor Award.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

But perhaps the most exciting race of all is for Best Picture. Out of the 10 nominees, the two at the top are Paul Thomas Anderson’s “One Battle After Another” and Ryan Coogler’s “Sinners,” both of which are studio releases from Warner Bros. Discovery

Which will win the top prize seems to be split among award pundits and experts. As of Monday afternoon, Gold Derby still has “One Battle After Another” as the front-runner with odds of 76.87%. AwardsWatch, AwardsRadar, and Numlock Awards are also still predicting that “One Battle After Another” will take the statue for Best Picture.

On the other side, reporters from some major trade publications like Variety’s Clayton Davis and The Hollywood Reporter’s Scott Feinberg predict that “Sinners” will take the top honor.

Odds in the prediction markets currently show that “One Battle After Another” is still ahead of “Sinners,” with the former priced in at 75% while the latter is priced at 23%.

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