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Reely long: Are movies getting longer? (Yes, a bit)

Reely long: Are movies getting longer? (Yes, a bit)

Once upon a time in Hollywood

This week's release of Christopher Nolan’s bombshell biopic, Oppenheimer, will undoubtedly make an impact on cinemas globally — if viewers can make it through the entire runtime without too many comfort breaks.

In an interview with Total Film Magazine, Nolan revealed that Oppenheimer will be his longest film yet, at just shy of 3 hours. That's even longer than the director's 2014 epic Interstellar, which warped time in both its plot and reality with a 169 minute runtime, aligning the ballistic launch of Oppenheimer with the trajectory of blockbuster movies becoming lengthier in recent years.

Reely long

As reported by Chartr in 2022, based on the average run time of the 10 most popular movies at the US box office for each year from 1995–2022, the highest grossing films have been trending towards getting longer. In fact, that trend was most pronounced last year, with the average runtime of the 10 biggest blockbusters coming in at 136 minutes. From 1995-1999, the top films averaged a 117 minute runtime, suggesting we've come to expect at least 15-20 minutes more movie.

In Oppenheimer's case, even the physical IMAX reel of the film itself is a behemoth — stretched end-to-end it's over 11 miles long and weighs some 600 pounds. The Barbie movie, thankfully, is a little lighter in runtime, coming in at just 1 hour 54 minutes.

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Prediction markets show “One Battle After Another” leads in Oscar race for Best Picture

It’s finally Oscars week — and with voting officially closed, all that’s left to do is count the ballots and wait to see who wins this Sunday night. 

This year, the acting categories have been the most interesting to watch, especially the showdown between “Marty Supreme” star Timothée Chalamet and “Sinners” actor Michael B. Jordan for Best Actor. While Chalamet was long the favorite, Jordan has caught up and overtaken him after winning the Actor Award.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

But perhaps the most exciting race of all is for Best Picture. Out of the 10 nominees, the two at the top are Paul Thomas Anderson’s “One Battle After Another” and Ryan Coogler’s “Sinners,” both of which are studio releases from Warner Bros. Discovery

Which will win the top prize seems to be split among award pundits and experts. As of Monday afternoon, Gold Derby still has “One Battle After Another” as the front-runner with odds of 76.87%. AwardsWatch, AwardsRadar, and Numlock Awards are also still predicting that “One Battle After Another” will take the statue for Best Picture.

On the other side, reporters from some major trade publications like Variety’s Clayton Davis and The Hollywood Reporter’s Scott Feinberg predict that “Sinners” will take the top honor.

Odds in the prediction markets currently show that “One Battle After Another” is still ahead of “Sinners,” with the former priced in at 75% while the latter is priced at 23%.

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