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Botox sales slip as consumer sentiment wrinkles

Smooth, youthful skin — in this economy?

J. Edward Moreno

As more economists raise their recession forecast and consumer sentiment wanes, wrinkles and thin lips might be the least of our worries.

AbbVie, the largest Botox manufacturer in the US, reported on Friday that sales of Botox and Juvederm, a facial filler, hit below analyst estimates for the first three months of the year. Sales for Botox hit their lowest point since the first quarter of 2021, and Juvederm sales hit their lowest point since the second quarter of 2020, when the COVID-19 pandemic was raging.

It was otherwise a cheery quarter for AbbVie, whose biggest revenue driver is immunology drugs. But unlike immunology, most people will survive comfortably without Botox, making it more vulnerable to shifts in consumer sentiment than the rest of its portfolio. Botox and Juvederm sales crashed during the pandemic and during the global financial crisis of 2008.

Based on the trends we are seeing, including a decline in recent consumer sentiment, we are moderating our assumptions for category growth globally and adjusting our full-year sales guidance for aesthetics accordingly, AbbVie Chief Commercial Officer Jeffrey Ryan Stewart told analysts on Friday.

Tariffs may also raise the price of Botox and Juvederm, both of which are manufactured in Ireland. AbbVie CEO Scott Reents told analysts on Friday that the company expects a roughly $30 million impact on sales from tariffs.

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Prediction markets show “One Battle After Another” leads in Oscar race for Best Picture

It’s finally Oscars week — and with voting officially closed, all that’s left to do is count the ballots and wait to see who wins this Sunday night. 

This year, the acting categories have been the most interesting to watch, especially the showdown between “Marty Supreme” star Timothée Chalamet and “Sinners” actor Michael B. Jordan for Best Actor. While Chalamet was long the favorite, Jordan has caught up and overtaken him after winning the Actor Award.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

But perhaps the most exciting race of all is for Best Picture. Out of the 10 nominees, the two at the top are Paul Thomas Anderson’s “One Battle After Another” and Ryan Coogler’s “Sinners,” both of which are studio releases from Warner Bros. Discovery

Which will win the top prize seems to be split among award pundits and experts. As of Monday afternoon, Gold Derby still has “One Battle After Another” as the front-runner with odds of 76.87%. AwardsWatch, AwardsRadar, and Numlock Awards are also still predicting that “One Battle After Another” will take the statue for Best Picture.

On the other side, reporters from some major trade publications like Variety’s Clayton Davis and The Hollywood Reporter’s Scott Feinberg predict that “Sinners” will take the top honor.

Odds in the prediction markets currently show that “One Battle After Another” is still ahead of “Sinners,” with the former priced in at 75% while the latter is priced at 23%.

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