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Deadpool & Wolverine is the highest-grossing R-rated movie in history*

*If you don’t account for inflation

Tom Jones, David Crowther

Deadpool & Wolverine, the super meta Marvel movie starring Ryan Reynolds and Hugh Jackman, has eclipsed 2019’s Joker to become the highest-grossing R-rated movie ever, having taken $1.14 billion worldwide.

Technically, however, when you adjust for inflation, Mel Gibson’s The Passion of the Christ is still the top-grossing R-rated movie in domestic box office history… for now.

A Marvel match made in marketing

Indeed, Marvel’s first R-rated movie has climbed the charts in just 4 weekends and became only the second release to cross the $1 billion threshold in 2024, on the heels of another Disney follow-up (Inside Out 2).

The financial success of the 34th installment in the MCU suggests that Ryan Reynolds’ theory about the movie — that it’s the first R-rated film to fit the “four-quadrant” model, where a movie appeals to males and females, as well as those above and below 25 — is on the money, with Marvel’s president Kevin Feige calling it the “most wholesome R-rated film that anybody can ever see”. 

R-rated movies market share
Sherwood News

The Deadpool threequel is helping to spark a resurgence for the age rating, which requires under-17s to be accompanied by a parent or guardian. Thanks mostly to the Marvel flick, a new Bad Boys movie, and a handful of horrors, R-rated movies have accounted for just shy of 30% of domestic box office takings so far this year — the highest market share (pandemic era aside) since the turn of the century.

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Prediction markets show “One Battle After Another” leads in Oscar race for Best Picture

It’s finally Oscars week — and with voting officially closed, all that’s left to do is count the ballots and wait to see who wins this Sunday night. 

This year, the acting categories have been the most interesting to watch, especially the showdown between “Marty Supreme” star Timothée Chalamet and “Sinners” actor Michael B. Jordan for Best Actor. While Chalamet was long the favorite, Jordan has caught up and overtaken him after winning the Actor Award.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

But perhaps the most exciting race of all is for Best Picture. Out of the 10 nominees, the two at the top are Paul Thomas Anderson’s “One Battle After Another” and Ryan Coogler’s “Sinners,” both of which are studio releases from Warner Bros. Discovery

Which will win the top prize seems to be split among award pundits and experts. As of Monday afternoon, Gold Derby still has “One Battle After Another” as the front-runner with odds of 76.87%. AwardsWatch, AwardsRadar, and Numlock Awards are also still predicting that “One Battle After Another” will take the statue for Best Picture.

On the other side, reporters from some major trade publications like Variety’s Clayton Davis and The Hollywood Reporter’s Scott Feinberg predict that “Sinners” will take the top honor.

Odds in the prediction markets currently show that “One Battle After Another” is still ahead of “Sinners,” with the former priced in at 75% while the latter is priced at 23%.

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