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Wishful thinking: Disney's latest release wasn't the hit it'd hoped

Wishful thinking: Disney's latest release wasn't the hit it'd hoped

Wishful thinking

Despite going into the holiday period as many people’s favorite for the top spot this Thanksgiving, Disney’s Wish was beaten out by the fifth installment of the Hunger Games franchise, which was in its 2nd week, as well as Ridley Scott’s newly-released Napoleon — another disappointing upset for the House of Mouse.

‍**Wish** mustered just $31.7 million over the 5-day Thanksgiving period (Wed-Sun), way down from its $45-50 million pre-release projections. That performance compounds a rough patch for Disney, which has been used to dominating the holiday box office in the past, producing 7 of the 10 highest-grossing Thanksgiving debuts of all time, according to data from The Numbers.

Fall flicks fall

Trips to the theater have become as much of a Thanksgiving tradition in some US households as carving up turkey or arguing with the in-laws. However, box office takings have sagged since Covid, with this year’s total estimated figure at $172 million, down 35% since 2019 — consistent with the wider malaise on the big screen, which is still yet to reach its pre-pandemic heights.

Although Disney's 2018 effort Ralph Breaks The Internet may hold the record for the top-grossing Thanksgiving weekend release of all time, the biggest-earning Thanksgiving-themed flick is actually Adam Sandler’s Jack & Jill, which, despite winning just a 3% approval rating from critics on Rotten Tomatoes, takes that particular accolade.

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Prediction markets show “One Battle After Another” leads in Oscar race for Best Picture

It’s finally Oscars week — and with voting officially closed, all that’s left to do is count the ballots and wait to see who wins this Sunday night. 

This year, the acting categories have been the most interesting to watch, especially the showdown between “Marty Supreme” star Timothée Chalamet and “Sinners” actor Michael B. Jordan for Best Actor. While Chalamet was long the favorite, Jordan has caught up and overtaken him after winning the Actor Award.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

But perhaps the most exciting race of all is for Best Picture. Out of the 10 nominees, the two at the top are Paul Thomas Anderson’s “One Battle After Another” and Ryan Coogler’s “Sinners,” both of which are studio releases from Warner Bros. Discovery

Which will win the top prize seems to be split among award pundits and experts. As of Monday afternoon, Gold Derby still has “One Battle After Another” as the front-runner with odds of 76.87%. AwardsWatch, AwardsRadar, and Numlock Awards are also still predicting that “One Battle After Another” will take the statue for Best Picture.

On the other side, reporters from some major trade publications like Variety’s Clayton Davis and The Hollywood Reporter’s Scott Feinberg predict that “Sinners” will take the top honor.

Odds in the prediction markets currently show that “One Battle After Another” is still ahead of “Sinners,” with the former priced in at 75% while the latter is priced at 23%.

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