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The scare share: Horror movies at the box office

The scare share: Horror movies at the box office

If you’re a Halloween-celebrator who didn’t spend your weekend trick-or-treating, you might have spent it in a cinema being frightened by the latest horror offerings on the big screen.

The scare share

An increasing share of movie goers are now opting for a fright, with data from The Numbers revealing that horror movies have taken 10-12% of all box office receipts in the last 3 years, roughly double the 5-6% share that the genre averaged from 2000-2010.

With the advent of streaming, and the proliferation of higher-quality TVs and sound systems, the at-home viewing experience for most genres is now a closer substitute for the cinema experience. Watching horror movies, however, likely remains a much more intense experience at the cinema, which is perhaps one reason why horror fans have flocked back to the big screen at a faster rate than other movie fans. Horror movies also typically don't need to have A-list star power or be attached to a universe or particular IP, giving a better chance for independent movie makers to recoup their investment.

2021 was horror’s best year relative to other genres, with 63 million tickets sold thanks to box office hits such as A Quiet Place: Part II, Candyman, Halloween Kills and the third movie in The Conjuring series. This year at the top of the scare charts has been Nope, Smile and The Black Phone, with horror films topping the box office for the last 5 weekends in the run up to Halloween.

Related charting: R-rated movies at the box office.

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Prediction markets show “One Battle After Another” leads in Oscar race for Best Picture

It’s finally Oscars week — and with voting officially closed, all that’s left to do is count the ballots and wait to see who wins this Sunday night. 

This year, the acting categories have been the most interesting to watch, especially the showdown between “Marty Supreme” star Timothée Chalamet and “Sinners” actor Michael B. Jordan for Best Actor. While Chalamet was long the favorite, Jordan has caught up and overtaken him after winning the Actor Award.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

But perhaps the most exciting race of all is for Best Picture. Out of the 10 nominees, the two at the top are Paul Thomas Anderson’s “One Battle After Another” and Ryan Coogler’s “Sinners,” both of which are studio releases from Warner Bros. Discovery

Which will win the top prize seems to be split among award pundits and experts. As of Monday afternoon, Gold Derby still has “One Battle After Another” as the front-runner with odds of 76.87%. AwardsWatch, AwardsRadar, and Numlock Awards are also still predicting that “One Battle After Another” will take the statue for Best Picture.

On the other side, reporters from some major trade publications like Variety’s Clayton Davis and The Hollywood Reporter’s Scott Feinberg predict that “Sinners” will take the top honor.

Odds in the prediction markets currently show that “One Battle After Another” is still ahead of “Sinners,” with the former priced in at 75% while the latter is priced at 23%.

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