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Sean Baker holding 4 Oscars
(Angela Weiss/Getty Images)
Ani Haul

Indie hit “Anora” really cleaned up at the Oscars last night

The movie, which grossed ~$41 million worldwide, took home Best Picture and four other awards.

Tom Jones

Despite its shoestring $6 million budget and relatively unknown cast, thrilling indie comedy-drama “Anora” won big at the 97th Academy Awards last night, after star Mikey Madison pipped favorite Demi Moore to Best Actress and writer-director Sean Baker scooped four gongs, including Best Picture, to equal a record set by Walt Disney himself 70 years ago

Elsewhere, Adrien Brody received his second Best Actor award for “The Brutalist” and delivered an emotional (and long) speech; there were first wins for films from Latvia and Brazil; and the Academy staged a kind of weird tribute to James Bond, after Amazon took creative control of the franchise recently.  

In their acceptance speech for the Best Picture award, and practically the final words of the ceremony, Sean Baker and the “Anora” team emphasized the movie’s indie credentials. The winners thanked production company Neon, which was only founded eight years ago, and declared “long live independent film,” as their work — which took 1/24th of last year’s winner “Oppenheimer” at the box office — romped to victory.

Best Picture winners gross chart
Sherwood News

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While the success of Christopher Nolan’s atomic blockbuster bucked the trend of Academy voters’ recent tendency to lean toward lower-budget, artier offerings (like “Parasite,” Neon’s only other Best Picture winner), this year’s top Oscar performer’s box office takings look a little light, even by modern standards. Besides pandemic-era winners “Nomadland” and “Coda,” which were hampered by shuttered cinemas and limited theatrical releases, “Anora” is the lowest-grossing Best Picture of the last 45 years, having taken just shy of $41 million at theaters around the world.

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Prediction markets show “One Battle After Another” leads in Oscar race for Best Picture

It’s finally Oscars week — and with voting officially closed, all that’s left to do is count the ballots and wait to see who wins this Sunday night. 

This year, the acting categories have been the most interesting to watch, especially the showdown between “Marty Supreme” star Timothée Chalamet and “Sinners” actor Michael B. Jordan for Best Actor. While Chalamet was long the favorite, Jordan has caught up and overtaken him after winning the Actor Award.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

But perhaps the most exciting race of all is for Best Picture. Out of the 10 nominees, the two at the top are Paul Thomas Anderson’s “One Battle After Another” and Ryan Coogler’s “Sinners,” both of which are studio releases from Warner Bros. Discovery

Which will win the top prize seems to be split among award pundits and experts. As of Monday afternoon, Gold Derby still has “One Battle After Another” as the front-runner with odds of 76.87%. AwardsWatch, AwardsRadar, and Numlock Awards are also still predicting that “One Battle After Another” will take the statue for Best Picture.

On the other side, reporters from some major trade publications like Variety’s Clayton Davis and The Hollywood Reporter’s Scott Feinberg predict that “Sinners” will take the top honor.

Odds in the prediction markets currently show that “One Battle After Another” is still ahead of “Sinners,” with the former priced in at 75% while the latter is priced at 23%.

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