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Moneyball: MLB's back, so we're exploring franchise financials

Moneyball: MLB's back, so we're exploring franchise financials

Baseball’s back

The MLB had its biggest opening day of fixtures for 55 years yesterday, with all 30 teams in action on the first day of the season for the first time since 1968.

One of the biggest results of the day was the immediate impact of new rules and regulations, aimed at speeding up the game. Indeed, the New York Times reported that the average game time was down and hits-per-hour were up as the MLB looks to reinvigorate America’s pastime.

Swings and misses

Even though attendance sunk to a 25-year low last year, the MLB’s been hitting it out of the park financially in the recent past. The organization confirmed that revenue reached a record $10.8bn in 2022, with the uptick reportedly down to new TV deals worth some $1.76 billion a year.

Many of the league's franchises are in good form financially as well. According to Forbes, franchise valuations are up 12% across the board this year, with sides like the LA Dodgers and the New York Yankees valued at $4.8 billion and $7.1 billion, respectively. Such titans, predictably, tend to bring in the most money too, with annual revenue for the Yankees reaching $657 million.

Even with valuations and revenues increasing, a third of franchises still have money problems, including another high-valued New York team. The Mets, despite being valued at $2.9 billion, lost more money than anyone else in the league in 2022, down $139 million, as owner Steve Cohen continues his spending spree.

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Prediction markets show “One Battle After Another” leads in Oscar race for Best Picture

It’s finally Oscars week — and with voting officially closed, all that’s left to do is count the ballots and wait to see who wins this Sunday night. 

This year, the acting categories have been the most interesting to watch, especially the showdown between “Marty Supreme” star Timothée Chalamet and “Sinners” actor Michael B. Jordan for Best Actor. While Chalamet was long the favorite, Jordan has caught up and overtaken him after winning the Actor Award.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

But perhaps the most exciting race of all is for Best Picture. Out of the 10 nominees, the two at the top are Paul Thomas Anderson’s “One Battle After Another” and Ryan Coogler’s “Sinners,” both of which are studio releases from Warner Bros. Discovery

Which will win the top prize seems to be split among award pundits and experts. As of Monday afternoon, Gold Derby still has “One Battle After Another” as the front-runner with odds of 76.87%. AwardsWatch, AwardsRadar, and Numlock Awards are also still predicting that “One Battle After Another” will take the statue for Best Picture.

On the other side, reporters from some major trade publications like Variety’s Clayton Davis and The Hollywood Reporter’s Scott Feinberg predict that “Sinners” will take the top honor.

Odds in the prediction markets currently show that “One Battle After Another” is still ahead of “Sinners,” with the former priced in at 75% while the latter is priced at 23%.

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