Offside: MLS teams are increasingly valuable, but many are still in the red

2/21/23 7:00PM

Top of the league

‍With the bidding war for soccer giants Manchester United heating up — bids are reportedly in the region of $6bn — and the MLS season kicking off on Saturday, we thought we’d explore the finances behind one of America’s fastest-growing sports.

Although some way off the largest European clubs, soccer in the US is big business, with last season’s champions Los Angeles FC becoming the first MLS franchise to hit a $1 billion valuation earlier this month, per Forbes.

‍Off-field finances

‍The MLS was founded 30 years ago as part of the 1994 US World Cup bid and has grown steadily ever since, building on the strong grassroots participation in the sport. Last year the MLS hit a record 10 million in annual attendance, helping the league to ink a lucrative $2.5 billion decade-long streaming deal with Apple.

Teams will be hoping that some of that fortune trickles down, as 18 of the 28 competing clubs in the 2022 season lost money, with New York City FC, Chicago Fire and Toronto FC among the clubs who lost $10m+.

Despite those losses, Forbes estimates that the average MLS club is now worth ~$580m, presumably because of the potential for growth over the coming decade. That valuation is up 85% from 2019 — and sides like Atlanta, and the other team in Los Angeles, LA Galaxy, are approaching the $1bn mark too.

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It’s finally Oscars week — and with voting officially closed, all that’s left to do is count the ballots and wait to see who wins this Sunday night.

This year, the acting categories have been the most interesting to watch, especially the showdown between “Marty Supreme” star Timothée Chalamet and “Sinners” actor Michael B. Jordan for Best Actor. While Chalamet was long the favorite, Jordan has caught up and overtaken him after winning the Actor Award.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

But perhaps the most exciting race of all is for Best Picture. Out of the 10 nominees, the two at the top are Paul Thomas Anderson’s “One Battle After Another” and Ryan Coogler’s “Sinners,” both of which are studio releases from Warner Bros. Discovery.

Which will win the top prize seems to be split among award pundits and experts. As of Monday afternoon, Gold Derby still has “One Battle After Another” as the front-runner with odds of 76.87%. AwardsWatch, AwardsRadar, and Numlock Awards are also still predicting that “One Battle After Another” will take the statue for Best Picture.

On the other side, reporters from some major trade publications like Variety’s Clayton Davis and The Hollywood Reporter’s Scott Feinberg predict that “Sinners” will take the top honor.

Odds in the prediction markets currently show that “One Battle After Another” is still ahead of “Sinners,” with the former priced in at 75% while the latter is priced at 23%.

Offside: MLS teams are increasingly valuable, but many are still in the red

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