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Unscripted: Hollywood strikes are forcing reality TV to the fore

Unscripted: Hollywood strikes are forcing reality TV to the fore

Acting out

TV and Hollywood movie writers are into their 6th week of strikes, and actors could soon follow suit. 98% of SAG-AFTRA, the Screen Actors Guild, voted to strike at the end of June if they don’t reach an agreement with streamers, studios, networks, and production houses by the end of the month.

While directors managed to avoid taking action by securing a “truly historic deal” earlier this week, the actors guild, which represents over 160,000 performers, could exacerbate issues for the entertainment industry and content consumers by joining the picket line.

Back to reality

Hollywood actors have not gone on strike against major film and TV studios since 1980 and, while not all of their goals are aligned, they’re bound together with writers on issues like better compensation and assurances on the regulation of AI. With both creative types potentially out at once, an “existential fight” in the industry could be in the cards, with unscripted and reality shows filling up holes in the TV schedule.

That would be bad news for studios, but it wouldn’t exactly be ideal for the viewers watching at home either. According to a recent survey from Morning Consult, the genre is the worst for keeping viewers engaged across the board, with only 25% of US adults preferring to watch with “undivided attention”. Unscripted efforts like cooking and game shows also struggle to keep viewers enthralled, capturing just 32% and 33%, respectively, on the same metric.

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Prediction markets show “One Battle After Another” leads in Oscar race for Best Picture

It’s finally Oscars week — and with voting officially closed, all that’s left to do is count the ballots and wait to see who wins this Sunday night. 

This year, the acting categories have been the most interesting to watch, especially the showdown between “Marty Supreme” star Timothée Chalamet and “Sinners” actor Michael B. Jordan for Best Actor. While Chalamet was long the favorite, Jordan has caught up and overtaken him after winning the Actor Award.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

But perhaps the most exciting race of all is for Best Picture. Out of the 10 nominees, the two at the top are Paul Thomas Anderson’s “One Battle After Another” and Ryan Coogler’s “Sinners,” both of which are studio releases from Warner Bros. Discovery

Which will win the top prize seems to be split among award pundits and experts. As of Monday afternoon, Gold Derby still has “One Battle After Another” as the front-runner with odds of 76.87%. AwardsWatch, AwardsRadar, and Numlock Awards are also still predicting that “One Battle After Another” will take the statue for Best Picture.

On the other side, reporters from some major trade publications like Variety’s Clayton Davis and The Hollywood Reporter’s Scott Feinberg predict that “Sinners” will take the top honor.

Odds in the prediction markets currently show that “One Battle After Another” is still ahead of “Sinners,” with the former priced in at 75% while the latter is priced at 23%.

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