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Ackman's $25B USA fund

Last week we discussed Bill Ackman's pricey IPO plan. The TL;DR was that Ackman was looking to take his hedge fund, Pershing Square, public in late 2025 or early 2026, and he was also actively looking to sell a stake in the firm at a $10.5 billion valuation before the IPO.

At the time, the $10.5 billion valuation for a fund with ~$18.2 billion in AUM, most of which is tied up in a closed-end fund on the European markets, felt high. For comparison, Blue Owl Capital is worth $28 billion with $174 billion in AUM.

However, we noted that this valuation could be reasonable if Pershing's AUM increased. Today, this story is beginning to make more sense. Bloomberg reported that Pershing Square is looking to raise $25 billion, up from a rumored $10 billion, for Pershing Square USA, its new NYSE-listed closed-end fund.

Assuming Pershing successfully raises $25 billion, it stands to make $500 million annually from its 2% management fee (though 20% of that would be used to reduce fees paid by its hedge fund clients). Combined with all of Pershing’s existing fees from its other investment vehicles, the extra cash it stands to generate from Pershing USA makes the $10.5 billion valuation seem far more reasonable.

However, we noted that this valuation could be reasonable if Pershing's AUM increased. Today, this story is beginning to make more sense. Bloomberg reported that Pershing Square is looking to raise $25 billion, up from a rumored $10 billion, for Pershing Square USA, its new NYSE-listed closed-end fund.

Assuming Pershing successfully raises $25 billion, it stands to make $500 million annually from its 2% management fee (though 20% of that would be used to reduce fees paid by its hedge fund clients). Combined with all of Pershing’s existing fees from its other investment vehicles, the extra cash it stands to generate from Pershing USA makes the $10.5 billion valuation seem far more reasonable.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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