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Luke Kawa

AMD sinks despite solid sales and revenue guidance

Advanced Micro Devices, the top-performing US semiconductor stock in 2025, is giving back some of its big year-to-date gains after its second-quarter earnings report.

The chip company delivered a modest bottom-line miss and a big beat on sales:

  • Adjusted diluted earnings per share came in at $0.48 (compared to estimates for $0.49).

  • Revenues were $7.69 billion (estimated $7.43 billion).

While the sales numbers jump out as impressive, under the hood they may be a little less so: AMD’s data center business actually came in a bit shy of estimates, and the beat was wholly driven by strength in its gaming division.

Guidance for Q3 was also impressive on the top line:

  • Revenue is forecast between $8.4 billion and $9 billion (compared to analysts’ estimate of $8.37 billion).

  • Gross margin is expected at 54% (estimated 54.1%).

That guidance does not include any revenue from sales of its MI308 chips to China, the company said, as its “license applications are currently under review by the US government.”

AMD led all members of the VanEck Semiconductor ETF heading into this report, up about 45% year to date. During the second quarter, management approved a fresh buyback authorization and, more importantly, unveiled a new line of chips that boost its prospects of eating into Nvidia’s market share in the AI GPU market.

AMD, like Nvidia, suffered from forgone sales to China this quarter after the announcement of additional export curbs in April. Those measures were reversed in mid-July, further juicing the chipmaker’s rally. 

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Chinese EV maker Nio sinks as a surge of orders for its new SUV create a 6-month backlog

Shares of Nio are falling Monday on the bittersweet news that its latest SUV (the ES8, priced to compete with Tesla’s Model Y) is too popular.

According to Chinese media reports, up to 50,000 ES8 orders may have been placed in the vehicle’s first 36 hours, surpassing Nio’s 40,000-vehicle production cap for this year.

Customers now ordering the ES8 won’t receive their vehicle for 24 to 26 weeks, or six months.

Nio CEO William Li said that the ES8’s production capacity will reach 15,000 units by December.

Customers now ordering the ES8 won’t receive their vehicle for 24 to 26 weeks, or six months.

Nio CEO William Li said that the ES8’s production capacity will reach 15,000 units by December.

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US toys with making the world’s worst investment

Argentinian government bonds are up big today on reports that the US is considering some sort of a bailout for the chronically messy Latin American economy currently led by Trump-allied right-wing populist Javier Millei.

The country’s foreign minister knocked down previous reports that Argentina was negotiating a $30 billion loan with the US.

But Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent just came out saying that “all options” are being considered to stabilize the country’s currency, which plunged as Millei’s attempt to radically remake the economy with deep spending and tax cuts has shown signs of sputtering amid a series of government corruption scandals. Bessent even went so far as to say Argentina is a “systemically important” US ally, using a term of art that’s often bandied about when bailouts are in the offing.

For the record, lending Argentina US taxpayer money seems a bad idea.

The country has defaulted on foreign loans nine times, giving it one of the world’s worst credit histories. In fact, it’s defaulted three times since 2000, including in 2019, after the last attempt to “reform” the country lured in foreign lenders once again.

But Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent just came out saying that “all options” are being considered to stabilize the country’s currency, which plunged as Millei’s attempt to radically remake the economy with deep spending and tax cuts has shown signs of sputtering amid a series of government corruption scandals. Bessent even went so far as to say Argentina is a “systemically important” US ally, using a term of art that’s often bandied about when bailouts are in the offing.

For the record, lending Argentina US taxpayer money seems a bad idea.

The country has defaulted on foreign loans nine times, giving it one of the world’s worst credit histories. In fact, it’s defaulted three times since 2000, including in 2019, after the last attempt to “reform” the country lured in foreign lenders once again.

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