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American Airlines jumps as United CEO floats the idea of a megamerger

American Airlines was trading up more than 5% in premarket trading on Tuesday after Bloomberg and Reuters reported that United Airlines CEO Scott Kirby had floated the idea of a possible merger with American Airlines.

According to Reuters, Kirby raised the idea during a February White House meeting with President Trump, though it remains unclear whether United has made any formal approach to American or whether any deal process is underway.

Such a deal would create a true airline giant, combining the worlds largest and fourth-largest airlines by capacity, respectively, per OAG data, which together control more than a third of the US market.

With that in mind, any tie-up would very likely face serious antitrust obstacles, with scrutiny from both the Department of Justice and the Department of Transportation. Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy said last week in a CNBC interview that there may be room for mergers in aviation, but warned that any large deal would face close review for its impact on consumers and might require the airlines to divest assets to avoid excessive market share concentration.

The talks come as airlines grapple with higher jet fuel costs driven by the US-Iran war and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz. American is also under significant financial pressure, weighed down by heavy debt and weaker profitability relative to peers, while Kirby has recently signaled that United could use industry disruptions to gain assets or market share.

Shares of United Airlines were also up modestly on the news, rising roughly 2% in premarket trading.

Such a deal would create a true airline giant, combining the worlds largest and fourth-largest airlines by capacity, respectively, per OAG data, which together control more than a third of the US market.

With that in mind, any tie-up would very likely face serious antitrust obstacles, with scrutiny from both the Department of Justice and the Department of Transportation. Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy said last week in a CNBC interview that there may be room for mergers in aviation, but warned that any large deal would face close review for its impact on consumers and might require the airlines to divest assets to avoid excessive market share concentration.

The talks come as airlines grapple with higher jet fuel costs driven by the US-Iran war and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz. American is also under significant financial pressure, weighed down by heavy debt and weaker profitability relative to peers, while Kirby has recently signaled that United could use industry disruptions to gain assets or market share.

Shares of United Airlines were also up modestly on the news, rising roughly 2% in premarket trading.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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