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Analyst slaps a rare “sell” rating on Apple

Apple watcher Craig Moffett made the call in light of what he calls “a steady drumbeat of bad news.”

Matt Phillips
1/7/25 11:34AM

Don’t be fooled by the 10% run-up in share price over the last three months, says tech analyst Craig Moffett. The upturn in Apple has come amid a drip, drip, drip of downbeat headlines that threaten to weigh on the company going forward, he wrote.

“A Federal Judge (Amit Mehta) had declared the payments Google makes to Apple each year for Google’s preferred (default) search position to be illegal. Apple’s position in China has steadily weakened. The Vision Pro, already expected to be something of a bust, has disappointed even the low expectations that had been set for it. And while the incoming Trump Administration is likely to exempt Apple from import tariffs, there is a genuine risk that Apple will be targeted with retaliatory tariffs in countries negatively impacted by U.S. import duties in unrelated categories.”

But most worrisome, Moffett says, is the “the lukewarm (we’re being charitable here) response consumers have given Apple’s first suite of AI features.”

For the record, as of yesterday, two-thirds of the analysts covering Apple still have a buy or overweight rating on the stock, though that’s down from nearly 80% that saw Apple as a buy back in January 2023. And while the Street seems bullish on the surface, the average 12-month price target is less than 2% above where the iPhone maker is currently trading.

Moffett is the senior research analyst at MoffettNathanson, an independent research provider specializing in the TMT sectors. His price target of $188 implies a more than 20% decline for Apple.

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Rocket lab soars to new record close amid rally for retail faves

Rocket Lab ripped by roughly 10% Friday to close at a new all-time high, riding an upturn of retail enthusiasm for a coterie of tech-themed favorites, even as the broader market was more or less flat on the day.

Goldman Sachs’ basket of “retail favorites” — its heaviest weights are Reddit, AppLovin, and Tempus AI — was the second-biggest gainer among the company’s flagship US equity baskets on Friday, rising about 1.6%. The S&P was almost dead flat.

It’s not Rocket Lab’s first retail rodeo, as the money-losing company has more than doubled this year and is up nearly 700% over the last 12 months.

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Six Flags pops after reiterating its guidance as theme park attendance rebounds

Six Flags shares rose more than 7% today after the company reported a rebound in attendance and early season pass sales heading into the fall. The nine-week period ended August 31 saw 17.8 million guests, up about 2% from the same stretch last year, with stronger momentum in the final four weeks. 

More importantly, Six Flags reaffirmed its full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance of $860 million to $910 million, showing confidence that its cost and operations strategy can stay strong for the duration of the year. Riding that wave, Six Flags also said early 2026 season pass unit sales are pacing ahead of last year, and average season pass prices are up about 3%.

The good vibes come despite a drop in in-park per-capita spending, especially from admissions, where promotions and changes to attendance mix (which parks or days guests visit) have weighed. Earlier this week, the amusement giant signed a new agreement that extended its position as the exclusive amusement park partner for Peanuts™ in North America through 2030.

Despite the rally, Six Flags shares are down about 52% year to date.

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Rivian turns red on the year, squeezed by a recall and the looming end of the EV tax credit

Shares of EV maker Rivian are down more than 5% on Friday following the company’s recall of 24,214 vehicles due to a software issue. The stock move erases Rivian’s year-to-date gain and turns the company negative on the year.

Rivian’s 2025 model year R1S and R1T are affected by the defect, which was identified after a vehicle’s hands-free highway assist software failed to identify another vehicle on the road, causing a low-speed collision. Rivian said it’s released an over-the-air update to fix the issue.

The recall marks Rivian’s fifth this year, affecting nearly 70,000 of its vehicles.

Rivian’s shares are down more than 20% from their 2025 high, which came prior to the passage of President Trump’sbig, beautiful bill.” Through the legislation, the $7,500 EV tax credit is set to expire at the end of the month.

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