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As momentum trade fades, Duolingo drops into negative territory for the year

Retail fave Duolingo dove Friday as part of a sudden reversal in the momentum trade that has dominated the market after its tariff-driven April 8 lows.

There was no obvious news or corporate event catalyzing the tumble, though the stock has been under a bit of scrutiny over the last week, since Google unveiled an AI-assisted real-time translation tool that some say could pose a threat to the language-learning app.

The Google news wasn’t a shocker, though. We posed questions about the strategic threat AI might pose to Duolingo when Sherwood News talked to Duolingo CEO Luis von Ahn almost a year ago. And mounting concerns about AI competition don’t explain the suddenness of Friday’s sell-off.

Whatever the cause, the depth of the tumble was enough to push Duolingo shares firmly into the red for 2025, a position it hasn’t been in since March, which — coincidentally — was when a major reversal also hit momentum shares.

That sell-off was worsened by the Trump administration’s April tariff announcement, which came close to pushing the S&P 500 into a bear market before the administration backed away from tariffs, setting off a massive rally.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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