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Luke Kawa

BCA’s top strategist recommends closing bearish bet on US stocks after over 500% gain


Take a bow, Peter Berezin.

BCA Research’s chief global strategist and director of research was a relatively lonely bear heading into this year, with the lowest 2025 price target for the S&P 500 among analysts surveyed by Bloomberg: 4,450. The consensus price target was around 6,500.

He sent a note to clients shortly after 10 a.m. ET advising them to close his recommended put option bet on the SPDR S&P 500 Trust for a massive profit:

As I mentioned last night, the market has gone a long way towards pricing our bearish view on stocks and the economy. With that in mind, we are closing our long SPY June 30, 2025 $550 put recommendation for a gain of 536%.

It takes a lot of courage to have committed to a call like this. To paraphrase one of my mentors, Scott Barlow, bullish and wrong is forgivable on Wall Street, but bearish and wrong gets you fired.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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