Trump Media rises on plans to make event contracts available on Truth Social in partnership with Crypto.com
Shares of Trump Media & Technology Group are up after the company announced that it will be making prediction markets available on its Truth Social platform through its partnership with Crypto.com.
Users “will be able to trade prediction contracts related to major events and milestones, such as political elections, interest and inflation rate changes, commodity prices on gold and crude oil, events across all major sports leagues, and more,” per the press release. Beta testing is to begin “in the near future,” followed by a full US launch with designs on a global rollout.
Speech is free and talk is cheap — until you put your money where your mouth is. Prediction markets are a booming business, with Piper Sandler estimating that volumes at Kalshi and Polymarket are poised to be up 91% month on month in October, driven in part by interest into contracts tied to the outcomes of sporting events.
The ascension of prediction markets has been viewed as negative for the “traditional” domains for online sports betting, with the likes of DraftKings and Flutter Entertainment suffering as prediction market activity linked to sports picks up steam. Both these firms, which are looking to increase their footprints in the event contracts space, are selling off as this new entrant also threatens to eat away at market share and, more importantly, a large rival plans a reentrance, with Bloomberg reporting that Polymarket is “preparing to return to the US in the coming weeks with a focus on sports betting,” citing people familiar.
(Robinhood Markets Inc. is the parent company of Sherwood Media, an independently operated media company subject to certain legal and regulatory restrictions. Event contracts trading is offered by Robinhood Derivatives, LLC, a registered futures commission merchant with the CFTC.)