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Celsius soars after announcing plan to buy Gen Z-focused competitor, shrugging off Q4 sales dip

Celsius Holdings, the energy drink brand beloved by celebrities and fitness influencers, is spiking in early trading after disclosing a $1.65 billion deal (net of tax assets) to acquire rival beverage maker Alani Nu.

Yesterday’s acquisition announcement came almost simultaneously with the company’s Q4 earnings, which revealed sales were down 4% year on year, better than analysts were forecasting, per Barron’s.

Since its Nasdaq debut in 2010, Celsius’ stock has been on a wild ride.

It was delisted from the Nasdaq at the end of that year, and while it returned in 2017, shares remained below $2 — until the company signed major distribution deals with beverage giants like AB InBev, Keurig Dr Pepper, and PepsiCo as consumers came around to its “healthier energy drink” marketing message. Since 2020, its revenues have grown more than tenfold, sending shares to an all-time high of ~$100 in March.

But, since peaking in May 2024, shares have plunged ~73%, wiping out over $16 billion in market cap as PepsiCo — Celsius’ primary US distributor — cut back orders to adjust inventory levels, triggering a 31% year-over-year revenue drop in Q3.

Acquiring the seven-year-old Alani Nu, which is popular among Gen Z and millennial women, might be the shot in the arm Celsius needs: in January, Alani Nu saw retail sales jump 78% from the previous year, according to Circana. Celsius expects the combination to drive the company’s revenue toward ~$2 billion (up from the $1.4 billion it pulled in alone in 2024), and boost its energy drink market share from 11% to 16%. Currently, Celsius holds the third spot in the $23 billion US energy drink market, trailing Red Bull and Monster.

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Earnings season a chance for AI hyperscalers to “get their mojo back”

Hyperscalers need more “hype” on their potential AI moneymaking opportunities or to show that their “scale” continues to drive huge growth through this spending binge.

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Active ETF offers exposure to Elon Musk’s SpaceX

Active ETF Baron First Principles ETF has added a large stake in Elon Musk’s privately held SpaceX, with daily disclosures of the active ETFs holdings on Friday showing SpaceX now makes up 22% of the fund’s portfolio.

Such a stake would open up a potentially big opportunity for those looking to get access to some of the eccentric billionaire’s privately held business empire, ahead of any public offering of the shares — which is reportedly in the works for this year.

Run by mutual fund manager Ron Baron, the ETF also owns stakes in other Musk vehicles such as privately held xAI and publicly traded Tesla. The fund — which has only been trading since December 15 — is down slightly on the day.

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AMD jumps as Intel’s supply constraints offer chance for CPU market share gains

As investors react negatively to Intel CEO Lip-Bu Tan’s warning that the chipmaker’s turnaround effort will be a “multiyear journey,” that cautionary note is also a reminder that Advanced Micro Devices has more time to make hay while the sun shines.

AMD had been one of the companies with the most to lose should attempts by the government and Nvidia to prop up the beleaguered chipmaker bear fruit. In particular, Intel and AMD are locked in a fierce competition in the CPU market. During its earnings call on Thursday, Intel said that supply constraints were preventing the company from realizing strong demand.

JPMorgan analyst Harlan Sur thinks that gives AMD more room to continue to muscle in on Intel’s CPU turf.

“We still view Intel as being at risk of further share loss in its product businesses (particularly in server CPU given AMD’s strong product portfolio/roadmap and Intel’s supply constraints),” he wrote.

AMD is up nearly 3% as of 11:40 a.m. ET, working on its ninth straight day of gains. A positive close would match its longest winning streak since 2005.

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Spotify climbs following an upgrade from Goldman as it prepares to hike prices

Music streamer Spotify climbed about 3% on Friday following an upgrade to “buy” from “neutral” from Goldman Sachs.

The upgrade comes ahead of Spotify’s already announced US subscription price hike next month — its third since 2023. Goldman lowered its 12-month Spotify price target to $700 from $735.

“We are surprised how negative investor sentiment has turned with respect to [Spotify] on the back of the AI theme. In our opinion, we see SPOT as well-positioned to capitalize on/benefit from rising generative AI adoption,” Goldman said in its Friday note, adding that it’s watching how the rise of AI music platforms could impact Spotify and its music royalty payment structure.

Earlier this month, Morgan Stanley published a survey that found up to 60% of Gen Z respondents listen to AI music, for an average of three hours per week. Last week, Bandcamp announced it would ban AI music on its platform.

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