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Nio shows signs of life

With its economy ailing, China has been leaning heavily on both automotive exports to support employment and a cash-for-clunkers-style trade-in program in an effort to goose domestic spending.

Whether or not these program can pump new life into the broader economy, they’ve been a boon for China’s EV industry. Numbers released early on New Year’s Day showed strong sales for Chinese automakers like BYD, Li Auto, and XPeng Inc.

The numbers were even decent for Nio — a relatively tiny Chinese automaker that became something of an American retail trading favorite during the heady days of pandemic trading in 2021. The company’s auto deliveries rose to more than 220,000 in 2024, up nearly 40%. (BYD sales also jumped about 40%, but to 4.2 million.)

Nio’s stock got a boost from the news, but the longer-term trajectory of the stock has been incredibly painful for shareholders that bought in at the 2021 peak.

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AST SpaceMobile surges on earnings, momentum bounce

Satellite-services-from-space play AST SpaceMobile surged Wednesday after receiving price-target hikes from analysts at Deutsche Bank and UBS amid a broader bounce in retail trading.

Shortly after 1 p.m. ET, the shares were on track for their best daily gain since late January, putting them up 30% for the week — AST reported mixed earnings after the close Monday — and more than 40% for the year.

The stock has been a favorite of smaller traders in recent years who’ve ridden AST’s 250% gain in 2024 and 244% gain in 2025. And the fact that the stock sprung back to life this week may mean that after a couple of dazed days following the outbreak of war between the US (and Israel) against Iran, retail speculators are again dip-buying once again.

That’s consistent with signals coming from the performance of Goldman Sachs’ themed baskets of stocks Wednesday, where some of the biggest gainers are “Meme Stocks” — which includes AST SpaceMobile — “Non-profitable Tech” and “Bitcoin Sensitive Equities.”

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GitLab shares dive as death-of-human-coding theme strengthens

Shares of software development service GitLab tumbled Wednesday after lackluster guidance undermined an otherwise solid set of Q4 results.

The hard numbers, however, may be less important for the shares than the hardening narrative entombing the company, whose stock price is down roughly 60% over the last year, at last glance.

In short, the problem is that GitLab sells coding and software development services long used by human coders and software developers. And investors think rapid advances in AI coding, through programs like Claude Code, mean there will be far fewer flesh-and-blood programmers to use GitLab in the future.

To wit, this report from The Information notes that OpenAI is developing an alternative to Microsoft’s GitHub — not to be confused with GitLab, an independent company, though both offer similar services such as code repositories and collaborative software development tools.

For sure, it’s not clear that human coders are destined for the dustbin of history. But it does seem fairly obvious that far fewer will be needed.

As I’ve written recently, that makes the AI boom somewhat distinct from other recent tech frenzies, in which programmers were typically insulated from the job losses their work often unleashes.

In short, the problem is that GitLab sells coding and software development services long used by human coders and software developers. And investors think rapid advances in AI coding, through programs like Claude Code, mean there will be far fewer flesh-and-blood programmers to use GitLab in the future.

To wit, this report from The Information notes that OpenAI is developing an alternative to Microsoft’s GitHub — not to be confused with GitLab, an independent company, though both offer similar services such as code repositories and collaborative software development tools.

For sure, it’s not clear that human coders are destined for the dustbin of history. But it does seem fairly obvious that far fewer will be needed.

As I’ve written recently, that makes the AI boom somewhat distinct from other recent tech frenzies, in which programmers were typically insulated from the job losses their work often unleashes.

markets

Ross Stores climbs after posting stronger-than-expected Q4 sales

Shares of off-price retailer Ross are up more than 6% on Wednesday morning, following the release of the company’s fourth-quarter earnings report after-hours on Tuesday.

Ross posted adjusted earnings of $2 per share in its Q4, ended January 31, beating Wall Street’s expectations of $1.90 per share. Total sales climbed 12% year over year to $6.6 billion, ahead of the $6.4 billion consensus.

CEO Jim Conroy credited some of the company’s success on growth in 18- to 34-year-old customers.

Looking ahead to the current quarter, Ross expects earnings of between $1.60 and $1.67 per share. Analysts polled by FactSet expect $1.68.

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Palantir’s ties to Anthropic reportedly under strain amid Pentagon spat

Palantir Technologies may have to cut ties with AI lab Anthropic after Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth declared his department would restrict military contractors from using Anthropic’s technology, according to a story by The Information published Tuesday afternoon. Anthropic’s models are deeply embedded in the Palantir software packages the US government uses to analyze classified data.

Information reporters Aaron Holmes, Sri Muppidi, Rocket Drew, and Julia Hornstein wrote:

Palantir CEO Alex Karp appeared to criticize Anthropic on Tuesday without directly naming it. Speaking at a defense tech summit hosted by Andreessen Horowitz in Washington, Karp upbraided Silicon Valley for going against the U.S. military, and warned that AI companies risked angering both liberals and conservatives.

If Silicon Valley believes we are going to take everyone’s white-collar jobs… and you’re going to screw the military, if you don’t think that’s going to lead to the nationalization of our technology, you’re retarded, Karp said. That’s where this path is going.

Information reporters Aaron Holmes, Sri Muppidi, Rocket Drew, and Julia Hornstein wrote:

Palantir CEO Alex Karp appeared to criticize Anthropic on Tuesday without directly naming it. Speaking at a defense tech summit hosted by Andreessen Horowitz in Washington, Karp upbraided Silicon Valley for going against the U.S. military, and warned that AI companies risked angering both liberals and conservatives.

If Silicon Valley believes we are going to take everyone’s white-collar jobs… and you’re going to screw the military, if you don’t think that’s going to lead to the nationalization of our technology, you’re retarded, Karp said. That’s where this path is going.

markets

Crypto-adjacent stocks rebound as return of geopolitical risk prompts reversals in 2026 market trends

Crypto-adjacent stocks are ripping on Wednesday morning as bitcoin soared above $70,000, exceeding a key resistance area flagged by multiple analysts in recent weeks.

Big gainers include:

(Robinhood Markets Inc. is the parent company of Sherwood Media, an independently operated media company subject to certain legal and regulatory restrictions.)

Bitcoin has performed terribly in 2026, and is down nearly 50% from its peak in October.

And it’s not the only beaten-down pocket of the market to have its fortunes change as geopolitical risk flares up.

Shortly before the US strikes against Iran, Renaissance Macro Head of Technical Research Jeff deGraaf flagged that the gap between winners and losers within the tech sector had reached levels not seen since the dot-com bubble; the nascent reversal in hardware versus software since tensions in the Middle East have ratcheted higher also seems to be manifesting as a rebound in crypto, as well.

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