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Mainland, gainland

A record 99.75% of major Mainland Chinese stocks are in on the rally

A historic share of Chinese stocks gained on Monday — right before markets close for Golden Week.

Luke Kawa

How intense is the rally in Chinese equities, propelled higher by pledges of government stimulus and direct measures to support the stock market? Well, it’s so strong that basically nothing is going down.

Both key Mainland China indexes had fantastic sessions to start the week, with Shanghai’s gauge up more than 8% in its best day since 2008 and Shenzhen’s surging nearly 11%, its biggest one-day gain since 1996. And yet, that may undersell how special the session was.

Over 5000 stocks went up and only 6 retreated on Monday. Across both exchanges, the 99.75% of stocks rising in one session is the highest share on record, based on data going back to July 2001.

On the Shanghai Composite, literally nothing went down:

For reference, even on the S&P 500’s best for breadth in recent memory — the near 5% face-ripper on December 26, 2018 that defined the equity market’s Q4 bottom on Christmas Eve — one constituent in the benchmark stock gauge still fell. And that’s just 500 stocks (with some dual-class listing funkiness); Shanghai has more than four times that.

Over in Shenzhen, the six companies that fell were:

  • Jiangsu Zhongli Group (-5.1%), a manufacturer of cables and wires

  • Hunan Jingfeng Pharmaceutical Co (-5%)

  • Xinjiang Haoyuan Gas Company (-3.1%)

  • Nanjing Red Sun Co. (-2.4%), an agricultural chemical company

  • Zhejiang Reclaim Construction Group (-0.6%), an infrastructure firm

  • Chongqing Sansheng Industrial Co (-0.4%), which makes building materials

Unfortunately for Chinese traders, this hot streak will have to go on hiatus no matter what: the Shanghai and Shenzhen exchanges are now closed until October 8 for Golden Week.

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Oracle jumps after Q3 results exceed expectations, boost to sales guidance

Oracle is up 5% in postmarket trading after its quarterly results and outlook gave investors reason to cheer.

The hyperscaler reported:

  • Sales of $17.2 billion (estimate: $16.9 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $1.79 (estimate: $1.70).

  • RPO (remaining performance obligations, or backlog) of $553 billion (estimate: $537.8 billion).

Oracle’s closely watched capex for the quarter was $18.64 billion, above analyst estimates of $14 billion.

Management also raised its sales outlook for the next fiscal year to $90 billion; analysts had expected $86.7 billion.

One year ago, management suggested that its fiscal 2027 top-line growth rate would be around 20%. And last quarter, the company said that 2027 sales would be $4 billion higher than previously expected. Putting this all together, this means Oracle’s previous 2027 sales guidance was in the neighborhood of $84.4 billion ahead of this report.

Breaking down Oracle’s cloud business:

  • Cloud revenue was $8.9 billion, up 44% year on year.

  • Cloud infrastructure revenue was $4.9 billion, up 84% year on year.

  • Cloud application revenue was $4 billion, up 13% year on year.

All of those figures were marginally ahead of estimates.

The cloud company’s elevated indebtedness and expected cash burn compare unfavorably to other hyperscalers, which caused markets to treat its aggressive capex plans as more risky than those of its peers. That’s been exacerbated by OpenAI, itself a cash incinerator, being the source of much of Oracle’s pipeline of future business.

Oracle’s five-year credit default swap spreads widened significantly from mid-September through late January due to this counterparty and credit risk. The company’s perceived creditworthiness recovered after announcing plans to raise money through equity, not just debt, to find its expansion plans, before CDS spreads once again blew out to their widest level since 2009.

“Oracle has been stained by the negative sentiment around OpenAI and is generally viewed as a poster child for AI Capex excess / madness and so a super squeezy rally in the stock could tell us AI Capex fears have peaked for now,” Brent Donnelly, president of Spectra Markets, wrote ahead of this release.

Oracle shares took a beating recently, as a number of analysts have lowered their price targets for the stock, which is down about 56% from its 52-week high of $345.72.

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Boeing faces Q1 delivery slowdown after discovering 737 Max wiring issues

Boeing shares dropped on Tuesday following the company’s announcement that it will delay some 737 Max deliveries this month after discovering scratches on wiring within the planes.

According to the plane maker, fixing the issues could take a matter of days for each plane. This could impact March and Q1 delivery figures, but Boeing doesn’t expect yearly totals to be affected.

Boeing is still producing an average of 42 737 Max planes per month, The Seattle Times reported. The FAA raised Boeing’s 737 production cap late last year.

Boeing delivered 51 commercial planes in February, its highest total for the month since 2018. The figure far exceeded the 35 deliveries for Airbus, the company’s European rival.

Boeing is still producing an average of 42 737 Max planes per month, The Seattle Times reported. The FAA raised Boeing’s 737 production cap late last year.

Boeing delivered 51 commercial planes in February, its highest total for the month since 2018. The figure far exceeded the 35 deliveries for Airbus, the company’s European rival.

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