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Yiwen Lu

Chinese stock rally takes a U-turn

As traders grow impatient with the Chinese government’s reluctance to introduce new stimulus measures, the market is sinking furiously in response.

Traders were disappointed by China’s economic planning agency’s press conference. While there were high hopes for new fiscal policies from the government, the presser turned out to be a nothingburger. China’s Ministry of Finance now plans another briefing on Saturday, during which it will introduce a “countercyclical adjustment of fiscal policy.”

But as The Wall Street Journal’s Lingling Wei put it, the framing indicates that China’s leadership sees the country’s economic woes as “cyclical” rather than “structural.” That disappointed analysts who expected the government to acknowledge the problem and aim to lift the economic fundamentals.

The CSI 300 Index, which tracks stocks listed in Mainland China, plunged 7.1% on Wednesday, the index’s biggest drop since 2020. In Hong Kong, the benchmark Hang Seng Index finished 1.4% lower on Wednesday, after losing a whopping 9.4% on Tuesday, its biggest loss in 14 years. 

The Mainland China market closed for the first week of October for the National Day holiday, while the Hong Kong stock exchange restarted trading on October 2. This allowed the Hong Kong market to react first to global market moves and investor sentiment. 

In the US, ETFs that track China stocks also suffered from loss. iShares MSCI China ETF, which tracks Chinese companies available to international investors, was down 10.8% on Tuesday. iShares China Large-Cap ETF fell 9.2%, while KraneShares CSI China Internet Fund lost 10%. Businesses that rely on Chinese consumers, including beauty retailer Estée Lauder, and luxury stocks also suffered from losses.

But as The Wall Street Journal’s Lingling Wei put it, the framing indicates that China’s leadership sees the country’s economic woes as “cyclical” rather than “structural.” That disappointed analysts who expected the government to acknowledge the problem and aim to lift the economic fundamentals.

The CSI 300 Index, which tracks stocks listed in Mainland China, plunged 7.1% on Wednesday, the index’s biggest drop since 2020. In Hong Kong, the benchmark Hang Seng Index finished 1.4% lower on Wednesday, after losing a whopping 9.4% on Tuesday, its biggest loss in 14 years. 

The Mainland China market closed for the first week of October for the National Day holiday, while the Hong Kong stock exchange restarted trading on October 2. This allowed the Hong Kong market to react first to global market moves and investor sentiment. 

In the US, ETFs that track China stocks also suffered from loss. iShares MSCI China ETF, which tracks Chinese companies available to international investors, was down 10.8% on Tuesday. iShares China Large-Cap ETF fell 9.2%, while KraneShares CSI China Internet Fund lost 10%. Businesses that rely on Chinese consumers, including beauty retailer Estée Lauder, and luxury stocks also suffered from losses.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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