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$1T
Luke Kawa

That’s the amount of fresh money Corporate America has allocated to buy back their own stocks this year.

“US Corporates authorized $1.009 trillion worth of stock year-to-date as of today, 10/18/24,” wrote Scott Rubner, managing director for global markets at Goldman Sachs. “This the largest year-to-date authorizations year on record, according to Birinyi.” 

Stock repurchases, obviously, help provide some support for the share price by acting as a source of demand — a key one, per Rubner, who also flagged that November tends to be the busiest month for buybacks.  

“US Corporates are the largest net buyer of US equities in 2024 and are ready to return from the blackout window with dry powder,” he said. 

The “blackout window” is a reference to a period of time ahead of the release of quarterly results where corporates can’t carry out stock repurchases on a discretionary basis.

Buybacks are also a way to flatter operating performance on a per-share basis — in an environment where total profits stay the same but management is shrinking the share count, that’s more earnings to be spread out over each share.

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Trump’s “impossible trinity” on AI and energy

Everyone loves a good trilemma.

In economics, the most famous of the genre was developed by Fleming and Mundell, which posits that you can only successfully achieve two of the following three objectives: the free flow of capital, a fixed exchange rate, and independent sovereign monetary policy.

George Pollack, senior US policy analyst at Signum Global Advisors, proposed a trilemma of his own to describe the Trump administration’s competing policy aims as a red-hot AI boom devours power and leaves households miffed by rising electricity bills.

He wrote:

“This note flags what we believe to be a simple reality whose salience will continue growing in US politics in coming months: the Trump administration, in its remaining three years will face a trilemma as the nation waits for its energy bet to play out — proving able to achieve two, but not all three, of the following objectives:

-Fulfill AI’s energy-appetite.
-Keep repressing renewable sources of energy.
-Appease American electricity consumers.”

Trump AI trilemma

As for evidence that the Trump administration is taking a fossil fuels-first approach while stunting renewables, Pollack pointed to the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which shrinks access to tax credits for green energy, as well as the end to the federal pause on liquefied natural gas export permits. However, it would be “inaccurate and unfair” to blame President Trump’s policies for surging electricity prices in recent months, he added.

While the government has pursued the expansion of nuclear power as a way to solve this trilemma, the long lead times involved are incongruent with a short-term fix.

Palantir reports Q3 earnings results

Palantir climbs toward a fresh record high ahead of earnings report

Traders and Wall Street are waiting to see whether Palantir’s latest numbers after market close today will continue to beat expectations.

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