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Palantir reports Q3 earnings results
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Palantir climbs toward a fresh record high ahead of earnings report

Traders and Wall Street are waiting to see whether Palantir’s latest numbers after market close today will continue to beat expectations.

Data, defense, and AI software company Palantir Technologies is due to report quarterly results after the bell Monday, amid soaring expectations that are putting the stock on track to close at a new record high.

Palantir — which rose 340% in 2024 — continues to be a startling outperformer, rising more than 150% so far this year. The market gains for the stock over the last two years are now approaching 1,000%.

That gain has come as the company has trounced quarterly expectations for eight straight earnings seasons. (Today’s report would make it nine in a row.)

But that, of course, that has resulted in Wall Street setting the earnings bar still higher.

Here’s what Wall Street analysts now expect Palantir to report:

  • Q3 sales of $1.09 billion, up about 50.5%, according to FactSet data. (That would be Palantir’s fastest quarterly growth rate since Q2 2021.)

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.17, up ~68% from Q3 2024.

  • About $490 million in commercial sales of software, much aimed at helping private corporations better take advantage of AI — which would be a 55% rise year over year.

  • Roughly $603 million in sales to governments, up 48% compared to last year.

The question, of course, is at what point expectations about Palantir start to become detached from the reality of what the company can actually achieve, which seems almost certain to happen at some point.

But indications coming from the company — which has upped its earnings guidance over the last year — and the soaring stock price suggest few see that happening imminently.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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