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Coty shares sink after the beauty conglomerate posts surprise Q4 loss

Coty shares sank nearly 20% in premarket trading Thursday as investors digested the beauty conglomerate’s disappointing Q4 results after the bell Wednesday.

The cosmetics and fragrance company posted an adjusted loss of $0.05 per share, well below Wall Street’s forecast for a $0.01 profit, according to analysts polled by FactSet. Revenue came in at $1.25 billion, topping analyst estimates of $1.21 billion but still down 8% year over year. Growth was driven by Coty’s prestige fragrance portfolio, which includes Gucci, Swarovski, and Tiffany & Co.

Looking ahead, Coty guided for adjusted EPS of $0.33 to $0.36 in the first half of its fiscal year, with stronger gains expected in the back half. Analysts are projecting full-year adjusted earnings of about $0.50 per share.

Management flagged a cautious retail backdrop, noting that retailers are destocking and consumers are trading down toward cheaper value options.

“Consumer demand for beauty continues to be solid, particularly for fragrances across price points and formats,” the company said in a statement. “At the same time, macroeconomic and tariff uncertainty is fueling cautious retailer ordering and a more promotional competitive environment.”

Coty also said it expects about $70 million in gross tariff headwinds this year, driven by new US tariffs on European-made fragrances and Chinese-sourced components. To offset the impact, Coty plans to raise prices across select categories.

Prior to the earnings release, Coty shares were down 29% year to date.

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Broadcom soars as rave reviews for Gemini 3 boost appeal of its custom chips

When spectators saw Michael Jordan blossom as a basketball star, it made them want to buy Nike’s Air Jordans.

Mizuho reckons there’s a similar halo effect for Broadcom based on the rave reviews for Google’s latest GenAI model, which include this ringing endorsement from Salesforce CEO Marc Benioff.

“Gemini 3 was trained and powered on Google homegrown TPU chips, which benefits partner AVGO,” wrote Daniel O’Regan, Mizuho’s managing director of equity trading.

Custom chips (ASICs) are Broadcom’s specialty, and as O’Regan noted, Google and Broadcom codesigned these building blocks for Gemini 3. Boosts to Google’s capex budget have tended to buoy shares of Broadcom, since it’s a big beneficiary of these outlays.

The early positive reception to Gemini 3 implies that: a) Google will want to continue this relationship (and need more chips for training and inference!), and b) other GenAI developers might be more willing to pursue the custom chip route for AI models and inference, perhaps eating into market share for Nvidia’s GPU-based solutions.

To this end, Broadcom announced a collaboration with OpenAI in mid-October to develop and deploy 10 gigawatts of custom AI accelerators.

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang has argued that GPU-centric data center solutions are superior because of how ubiquitous the firm’s CUDA software is in high-performance computing.

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