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CrowdStrike sinks after issuing brutal guidance worse than any analyst expected

Shares of cybersecurity software maker CrowdStrike slipped 6% in after-hours trading following the release of the company’s fourth-quarter earnings report.

The report itself was strong: CrowdStrike saw a 25% spike in revenue to $1.06 billion for the quarter, subscription revenue climbed 27% to just over $1 billion, and annual recurring revenue rose 23% to $4.24 billion. 

The reason for the sell-off likely has to do with CrowdStrike’s Q1 and full-year guidance, both of which missed expectations by a lot.

Management’s Q1 guidance calls for earnings per share between $0.64 and $0.66; the consensus estimate was $0.96 and the low forecast among analysts polled by Bloomberg was $0.84!

CrowdStrike’s operating expenses rose to nearly $3.1 billion on the year, up from $2.3 billion in the year prior. At a 33% growth rate, expenses are rising faster than revenue, which rose 29% annually.  

The report caps a wild year for CrowdStrike. The company’s shares plunged by more than a third in the weeks following its July software glitch that caused thousands of canceled flights, computer crashes, and hospital system glitches across the world. The so-called “largest IT outage ever” cost Fortune 500 companies more than $5 billion

CrowdStrike reported another $21 million in costs related to the July incident in its report, bringing the annual total to $60 million.

CrowdStrike appears to be on the road to recovery from the outage. By the end of January, its market cap had more than recovered the $30 billion lost amid its botched update. Shares were up around 12% year to date prior to its earnings report, despite having dipped in late Februrary following news that the DOJ and SEC were investigating one of its contracts with the IRS.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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