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Julich Research Center Inaugurates Europe's First 5,000+ Qubit Quantum Computer
The Advantage quantum computer, the predecessor to D-Wave’s new system (Lukas Schulze/Getty Images)
Ride the Wave

D-Wave Quantum jumps as its breakthrough computing system hits the market

D-Wave’s Advantage2 system, used to produce its “quantum supremacy” scientific breakthrough, is now available as a service and for sale.

Luke Kawa

Shares of D-Wave Quantum are soaring premarket after announcing that its Advantage2 quantum computing system is ready for prime time.

The new model can now be accessed by customers as part of D-Wave’s “quantum computing as a service” business as well as for on-site installation.

What’s special about this quantum computer? Well, for starters, D-Wave used the prototype of this system to produce its “quantum supremacy” result, in which it solved a practical business problem — determining what types of magnetic materials could make good sensors and how to make them the most sensitive sensors they can be — that would be energy- and time-prohibitive for a classical supercomputer to do.

Given that sensors are used in medical imaging, electrical networks, motors, and more, this wasn’t the case of solving a ridiculously complicated math equation that has little applicability to any real-world value, but something with potential commercial implications.

D-Wave’s revenue profile has been quite lumpy because system sales bring in so much more than its professional services or QCaaS business lines based on the current volume of customers and their computing needs. Its Q1 revenues spiked thanks to the sale of a system to a German supercomputing center. Because there are only so many supercomputing centers, hyperscalers offer a potential new avenue to really move the needle on overall sales. D-Wave CEO Dr. Alan Baratz is eager for his firm’s quantum systems to be used to add speed and efficiency to an AI boom that has hundreds of billions in capex behind it.

“We’re doing some very interesting work in how you can use the quantum computer together with classical to do AI model training and inference faster and with less electricity consumption,” he said in an interview with Sherwood News earlier this month. “Those are system sales opportunities.”

GO DEEPER: D-Wave CEO says recent tech breakthrough is bolstering its sales momentum.

As to how this compares to D-Wave’s prior system:

“It’s always about increasing all three: qubits and connectivity, coherence time, and energy scale,” Baratz told us in late March. “In going from Advantage to Advantage2, we went from degree 15 on connectivity to degree 20, we went to double the coherence time, and we went to 40% greater energy scale, so we improved on all three of those.”

READ MORE: D-Wave CEO explains how the US is falling behind the rest of the world on quantum computing.

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Bull with Nose Ring

US stocks end volatile week on a positive note

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 both ended well in the green, while the Russell 2000 suffered a loss.

markets

Margins, and selling the news: analysts look to explain Oracle’s tumble

The somewhat counterintuitive tumble in Oracle shares continued into afternoon trading Friday, despite Wall Street analysts’ more or less favorable reaction to Oracle’s investor day presentation Thursday, where executives said the company’s AI cloud business would eventually sport margins of between 30% and 40%, far better than the figures reported by The Information back on September 7.

And yet, the stock is on its way to its worst day in the last six months. What gives?

Gil Lauria, who covers Oracle for D.A. Davidson & Co. — who has it at “hold” with a $300 price target — has a theory, telling Sherwood News:

“Investors are disappointed that the entire growth acceleration in Oracle is from the Oracle Cloud Infrastructure business, and that Oracle expects the rest of the business to grow low single digits.

The other disappointment came from Oracle acknowledging that the GPU rental business only had 30-40% gross margins, far lower than the 80% gross margins for the rest of the business.”

Other analysts we’ve chatted with on background say they’re not convinced the margin story is the source of today’s slump, suggesting the also plausible explanation that the drop might just be a sign traders bought the stock ahead of the presentation to analysts on Thursday anticipating positive announcements, and now they’re selling simply selling the news.

Gil Lauria, who covers Oracle for D.A. Davidson & Co. — who has it at “hold” with a $300 price target — has a theory, telling Sherwood News:

“Investors are disappointed that the entire growth acceleration in Oracle is from the Oracle Cloud Infrastructure business, and that Oracle expects the rest of the business to grow low single digits.

The other disappointment came from Oracle acknowledging that the GPU rental business only had 30-40% gross margins, far lower than the 80% gross margins for the rest of the business.”

Other analysts we’ve chatted with on background say they’re not convinced the margin story is the source of today’s slump, suggesting the also plausible explanation that the drop might just be a sign traders bought the stock ahead of the presentation to analysts on Thursday anticipating positive announcements, and now they’re selling simply selling the news.

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Analysts generally like what they heard from Oracle, but shares are down

The big news out from the Oracle AI World conference was broadly positive: that margins on cloud infrastructure can be as high as 35%, and that the company predicts $166 billion in infrastructure revenue by 2030.

And in the wake of that news, today UBS raised its price target for Oracle shares to $380 from $360, saying they are undervalued.

But investors appear to have some concerns about Oracle’s huge capex plans, which are fueled by huge AI infrastructure deals with OpenAI and Meta, as shares dropped over 7% in Friday trading.

Analysts have pointed to Oracle’s high cash burn as it pursues its AI build-out and potential financing needs as flies in the ointment that could blunt the impact of the company’s strong longer-term growth forecasts.

On Friday, Jefferies analysts wrote:

“Questions remain about ORCL’s capex requirements to meet growing demand, as there was no forward-looking commentary on capex at the Analyst Day. Capex will need to ramp in line with [Oracle cloud infrastructure] revenue growth, raising concerns about ORCL’s financing options to support this expansion.”

However, if that’s the reason why the stock is getting hit today, it would mark a distinct change in how investors are evaluating the AI trade. Companies have tended to be increasingly rewarded for their aggressive capex commitments to enhance the boom, based on optimism that investments in this would-be revolutionary technology will bear fruit.

Friday’s dip comes on the back of a strong run leading up to the yesterday’s investor conference, fueled by a flurry of AI headlines. Oracle shares have gained over 18% in the past three months and more than 70% so far this year, well outpacing the Nasdaq’s approximately 7% and 16% rise over the same time periods.

markets

AST SpaceMobile drops after Barclays cuts rating to “underweight”

AST SpaceMobile, which provides cellular services from space, dove in early trading after Barclays analysts cut their rating on the shares to “underweight” (essentially a sell) from “overweight” (or a buy), citing “excessive” valuation on the still money-burning company. The fact that analysts went from “buy” to “sell” — with no momentary stop at a “hold” or “neutral” rating — makes it a fairly rare “double downgrade.”

They wrote:

“Valuation has run ahead of fundamentals... In our last update, we increased our price target from $38 to $60 as we took a more constructive view on pricing; we found it supportive that TMUS/Starlink launched a text only service for $10 per month and believe that AST products which will be richer (text, call, broadband) could see higher prices points. Since then the stock price has doubled from $48 to $95.7.”

With the shares up almost 120% over the last month through Thursday, and a price-to-forward-sales ratio of 140x — the Nasdaq Composite is around 5x — the stock might be due for a cooling-off period.

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