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Luke Kawa

DeepSeek AI is reviving the most beaten-down part of the US stock market

DeepSeek AI is putting a deep dent in the US stock market, especially the chip companies who’ve been the beneficiaries of a big spending binge.

But the hit to the S&P 500 is also pushing Treasury yields lower as investors leave riskier assets for safer ones, perhaps also taking a bit of a dimmer view on economic growth should AI-adjacent business investment moderate. This drop in yields is a big boon for stocks tied to the real estate sector, which has gotten shellacked as long-term borrowing costs stayed high despite the Federal Reserve’s rate cuts. Mortgage rates tend to follow long-term bonds, and the 10-year Treasury yield hit its lowest level of the year today, just below 4.5%.

Mortgage lender Rocket Companies (disclosure: I own it) is on a tear, up more than 5%, while the iShares US Home Construction ETF is up nearly 2% as of 12:15 p.m. ET.

Call it a silver l-AI-ning: while this new chatbot has struck at the heart of the US stock market’s greatest strength, it may be reducing the US economy’s most obvious vulnerability at the same time.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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