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Dell's earnings still aren't living up to AI expectations

Two weeks ago, I noted that an unexpected stock had matched Nvidia’s rocketship performance over the last year: Dell.

Dell appeared to be riding the AI wave, with its stock price jumping 11% on May 15 after Morgan Stanley raised its price target and predicted that Dell would benefit from more demand for its AI servers. However, that demand had not yet translated to Dell’s top line, with its revenue declining in a period when its market capitalization tripled.

Dell released Q1 earnings today, and it appears that investors are growing tired of waiting for Dell's financial performance to justify its valuation, with the stock falling as much as 15% after hours. Let's compare Dell's Q1 performance to Nvidia's numbers from a week ago:

Dell: Q1 revenue of $22.2B, up 6% from Q1 2024, and operating income of $920M down 14% from the same quarter last year.

Nvidia: Q1 revenue of $26B, up 262% from the year before (and 18% from the quarter before), and operating income of $16.9B, up 690% from the year before.

While Dell's management did note that servers and networking revenue, which includes the most AI-sensitive parts of its business, increased by 42% annually, the market reaction shows that this wasn't enough to impress investors.

Dell released Q1 earnings today, and it appears that investors are growing tired of waiting for Dell's financial performance to justify its valuation, with the stock falling as much as 15% after hours. Let's compare Dell's Q1 performance to Nvidia's numbers from a week ago:

Dell: Q1 revenue of $22.2B, up 6% from Q1 2024, and operating income of $920M down 14% from the same quarter last year.

Nvidia: Q1 revenue of $26B, up 262% from the year before (and 18% from the quarter before), and operating income of $16.9B, up 690% from the year before.

While Dell's management did note that servers and networking revenue, which includes the most AI-sensitive parts of its business, increased by 42% annually, the market reaction shows that this wasn't enough to impress investors.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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