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DOGE risk to consulting sinks IBM

IBM is down by the most in almost exactly a year, despite reporting Q1 numbers Wednesday afternoon that beat analyst forecasts.

In fact, the stock saw a reflexive jump in the immediate aftermath of the report, but the optimism fizzled almost immediately after company executives tiptoed their way through Big Blue’s conference call.

Analysts seemed especially interested in somewhat sluggish results from IBM’s consulting business, where sales slipped 2% (essentially flat on a constant currency basis), and whether that may have reflected the effects of Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s DOGE effort to rip up root and branch the way the federal government operates.

While stressing that sales to the federal government account for less than 5% of total revenues and 10% of its consulting revenues, company executives acknowledged some risk to their business selling technology services to Uncle Sam.

CEO Arvind Krishna said:

“To Consulting and DOGE, yes, we are not immune from all those activities, just like everybody else. We had a couple of contracts that were impacted in the first quarter. You would expect USAID, where we did some work was impacted, but not really in most other cases. The work we tend to do is much more mission-critical, is much more about building the government systems which make them more efficient and so, we see them carry on. Now, its hard to predict where that goes over the rest of the year. So Im not going to try and make that prediction on DOGE and Consulting, except to caution, as Jim said in his prepared remarks, if there is pressure in the economy, Consulting tends to see headwinds before other parts of the business.”

Analysts seemed especially interested in somewhat sluggish results from IBM’s consulting business, where sales slipped 2% (essentially flat on a constant currency basis), and whether that may have reflected the effects of Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s DOGE effort to rip up root and branch the way the federal government operates.

While stressing that sales to the federal government account for less than 5% of total revenues and 10% of its consulting revenues, company executives acknowledged some risk to their business selling technology services to Uncle Sam.

CEO Arvind Krishna said:

“To Consulting and DOGE, yes, we are not immune from all those activities, just like everybody else. We had a couple of contracts that were impacted in the first quarter. You would expect USAID, where we did some work was impacted, but not really in most other cases. The work we tend to do is much more mission-critical, is much more about building the government systems which make them more efficient and so, we see them carry on. Now, its hard to predict where that goes over the rest of the year. So Im not going to try and make that prediction on DOGE and Consulting, except to caution, as Jim said in his prepared remarks, if there is pressure in the economy, Consulting tends to see headwinds before other parts of the business.”

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Applied Digital, WeRide, and Recursion Pharmaceuticals dip as Nvidia exits positions

Three stocks took a dip in after hours trading on Tuesday after Nvidia’s 13F filing showed the chip designer sold its stake over the final three months of 2025:

  • Applied Digital, a data center operator in which Nvidia was the seventh-largest holder as of the end of Q3.

    • That being said, Nvidia still has some quasi-direct Applied Digital exposure through its still-substantial CoreWeave position. The neocloud acquired warrants in APLD last June.

  • WeRide, the Chinese self-driving firm.

  • Recursion Pharmaceuticals, which engages in AI-driven drug development.

Nvidia also sold its holdings of Arm Holdings, but that was offset by some good news: part of Nvidia’s expanded pact with Meta will see Arm-based CPUs assume a more prominent role in data center environments, which may help boost its volumes and selling prices.

Nvidia added positions in Nokia, Intel, and Synopsys in Q4, all of which had been previously announced via press releases. Its Coreweave and Nebius positions were unchanged relative to Q3.

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Sandisk drops after Western Digital confirms plan to unload $3 billion in stock

Western Digital is cashing in more of its Sandisk position.

The hard drive seller is exchanging more than $3 billion in Sandisk shares as part of a debt-for-equity swap.

The two companies were once one, but Western Digital spun off a little more than 80% of its flash drive business in February 2025, and already exchanged the lion’s share of what remained in a separate debt-for-equity swap in June.

This move was very, very well telegraphed by Western Digital, which recently confirmed plans to monetize its Sandisk position before the one-year anniversary of that split (February 21). And Sandisk’s press release makes clear that the company is not the one selling more stock or making any money off of this.

That being said, being a high-flying stock that has a Bloomberg headline with “secondary offering” in it could, in theory, spark some turbulence.

Shares of Sandisk have indeed extended the day’s losses to more than 8% in the after-hours session before paring some of that decline.

The two companies were once one, but Western Digital spun off a little more than 80% of its flash drive business in February 2025, and already exchanged the lion’s share of what remained in a separate debt-for-equity swap in June.

This move was very, very well telegraphed by Western Digital, which recently confirmed plans to monetize its Sandisk position before the one-year anniversary of that split (February 21). And Sandisk’s press release makes clear that the company is not the one selling more stock or making any money off of this.

That being said, being a high-flying stock that has a Bloomberg headline with “secondary offering” in it could, in theory, spark some turbulence.

Shares of Sandisk have indeed extended the day’s losses to more than 8% in the after-hours session before paring some of that decline.

markets

Cadence Design Systems jumps after Q4 earnings, 2026 profit outlook, and sales backlog exceed estimates

Cadence Design Systems jumped in after-hours trading on Tuesday, briefly erasing the day’s big losses, after posting better-than-expected Q4 earnings, a big pipeline of future business, and a solid profit outlook for 2026.

For Q4, the electronic design automation company reported:

  • Sales of $1.44 billion (estimate: $1.42 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $1.99 (estimate: $1.91).

  • Remaining performance obligations (RPO) of $7.8 billion (estimate: $7.25 billion).

Management said that 2026 adjusted earnings per share would range between $8.05 and $8.15, above the consensus call for $8.03.

In recent weeks, investors have worried that Cadence’s software business, which is used by chip designers, could suffer competitive pressure from AI tools. At the very least, that RPO figure says there’s billions of dollars standing between Cadence and any more disrupted future.

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