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DraftKings Q3 2025 earnings results
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DraftKings tumbles after Q3 sales miss, guidance snip

Shares of DraftKings, and rival Flutter Entertainment, were hammered in Q3 over the potential for prediction markets to eat into the traditional sports betting business.

Matt Phillips

DraftKings shares dove after the online sportsbook reported Q3 sales that fell short of Wall Street estimates and reduced its full-year guidance below the forecast it offered in Q2.

The No. 2 online sports betting company in the US by market share reported:

  • A Q3 adjusted loss per share of $0.26 vs. the $0.25 loss analysts expected, per FactSet.

  • Q3 revenue of $1.14 billion vs. estimates of $1.20 billion.

  • Full-year revenue guidance of between $5.9 billion and $6.1 billion vs. previous guidance of between $6.2 billion and $6.4 billion and the analyst consensus forecast for $6.19 billion.

The company pointed toward bettor-friendly outcomes on NFL games — essentially favorites winning games slightly more often than expected — as part of the reason for the sales miss.

In September and October, customer friendly sport outcomes impacted our revenue by more than $300 million, as just a handful of NFL games had a pronounced effect, the company said.

Those numbers are important. But traders, investors, and analysts are also very interested in what DraftKings executives will have to say on the company’s conference call tomorrow morning, particularly about getting its prediction markets business up and running in short order, as it seeks to fend off competitive threats from prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket.

Prediction markets are currently federally regulated by the CFTC as financial markets rather than subject to the more patchwork state laws on sports gambling. That regulatory advantage has made their emergence a growing concern for the sports betting business.

Such worries are at the heart of sharp underperformance for DraftKings’ stock, which is down about 35% over the last three months. FanDuel’s parent, Flutter Entertainment— which is seen as similarly exposed to the prediction markets threat — is down 30% over that period.

DraftKings recently made an acquisition of a CFTC-regulated exchange as it moves to get its prediction market off the ground. The company has said it expects to launch its DraftKings Predictions mobile app in the coming months.

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Figma spikes after raising full-year sales outlook as the software company leverages AI for growth

Figma jumped postmarket Thursday after posting impressive sales in Q1, surpassing Wall Street expectations and raising its full-year guidance. The key numbers:

  • Q1 revenue of $333.4 million (compared to analyst estimates of $316 million).

  • Q2 sales guidance of $348 million to $350 million (estimate: $329.7 million).

  • Full-year revenue between $1.422 billion and $1.428 billion (up from previous guidance of $1.37 billion).

The digital design software firm is the latest company to diminish investor fears about AI-induced disruption by making the technology work for them. Like Atlassian or Datadog, Figma said it was able to use AI to its advantage, bringing more customers on board and getting them to spend more.

In the press release, Praveer Melwani, Figma CFO, said:

As AI gets better, Figma is accelerating and customer usage and workflows on our platform are deepening. Our platform and AI products drove faster growth for both new customer acquisition and expansion within existing accounts.

Revenue grew 46% year over year in Q1 2026, an acceleration from growth of 40% in Q4 2025.

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Infleqtion reports Q1 adjusted loss, offers modest boost to full-year sales guidance

Infleqtion is falling in postmarket trading after reporting a Q1 adjusted loss from operations of $13.2 million and sales of $9.5 million.

Management modestly upgraded its sales guidance to “at least” $40 million for 2026, adding that language to enhance the target provided in early April. Revenues of $40 million would mark an increase of roughly 23% compared to the $32.5 million generated in 2025, and an acceleration from growth of 12% last year.

The company utilizes neutral-atom technology to make quantum sensors used in clocks and antennas in addition to computers.

“Q1 reinforced our confidence that quantum is gaining momentum as the market shifts toward deployable systems, real applications, and measurable customer value,” said CEO Matt Kinsella. “Across computing, sensing, and software, we are seeing expanding customer activity especially in national security, space, and hybrid quantum-AI applications.”

Shares are roughly flat since February 13, which is just before the company went public via a SPAC, after being down 35% near the end of March, and then up nearly 30% in mid-April.

The quantum computing space benefited from the return of speculative appetite in April after the US and Iran agreed to a ceasefire. The cohort was later bolstered after Nvidia unveiled a suite of open models designed to leverage AI to improve calibration and error correction for quantum computers.

markets

Applied Materials rallies after better-than-expected Q2 results, strong sales guidance

Shares of Applied Materials are gaining in postmarket trading after the company reported robust Q2 results and a sales outlook that indicate building momentum.

  • Net sales: $7.9 billion (compared to analyst estimates of $7.7 billion and guidance for $7.65 billion, plus or minus $500 million).

  • Adjusted earnings per share: $2.86 (estimate: $2.68, guidance: $2.68, plus or minus $0.20).

For Q3, the company anticipates net sales of $8.95 billion (plus or minus $500 million; estimate: $8.15 billion) with adjusted EPS of $3.36 (plus or minus $0.20; estimate: $2.88).

“The growth in AI that Applied has been investing for is now in full force,” CFO Brice Hill said in the press release.

Management has consistently indicated that it expects demand to pick up in the second half of this year, but its first-half results have already blown away expectations by a wide margin. All this appetite for semiconductors to support AI compute is fantastic news for companies like Applied Materials that make the equipment to produce these specialized chips.

Shares of Applied Materials closed near a record high ahead of this report, up more than 70% year to date.

markets

Snap falls after Meta rolls out new “Instants” feature

Here today, gone tomorrow is a winning idea — according to Wall Street.

Shares of Snap are down nearly 5% Thursday afternoon after Meta announced Instants, a new feature and companion app that allows users to share spontaneous, unfiltered photos that disappearing after viewing. Remind you of anything?

Snap has fallen roughly 34% this year, while Facebook and Instagram parent company Meta has dipped 5% over the same time frame. Last week, Snap reported earnings that showed the social media company losing out on ad sales.

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