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Eli Lilly rises after earnings, sales blow past Wall Street’s expectations

The company sold $6.5 billion worth of Mounjaro in this most recent quarter, $1 billion more than the Street was expecting.

J. Edward Moreno

Eli Lilly rose after it reported earnings and revenue that beat Wall Street expectations, driven by better-than-expected sales of its blockbuster diabetes shot Mounjaro.

The company reported adjusted earnings per share of $7.02, compared to the $5.89 analysts polled by FactSet were expecting. It also reported $17.6 billion in sales, versus the $16 billion the Street was penciling in. Both its top- and bottom-line results were better than every analyst polled by Bloomberg had projected.

The drugmaker’s sales growth is largely driven by its diabetes and weight-loss shots, Mounjaro and Zepbound. The company sold $6.5 billion worth of Mounjaro in the latest quarter, $1 billion more than the Street was expecting.

Lilly raised its full-year adjusted profit outlook to between $23 and $23.70 per share, up from its previous guidance of $21.75 to $23 a share. It now expects annual revenue to hit between $63 billion and $63.5 billion, up from its previous guidance of $60 billion to $62 billion. 

Tirzepatide, the active ingredient in Lilly's Mounjaro and Zepbound, is now the most-sold medicine in the world, surpassing Merck’scancer therapy, Keytruda, this year.

But despite having some of the bestselling pharmaceuticals on the market, the company is underperforming the broader market for the year, as uncertainty over tariffs and drug pricing roils the industry.

The company has doubled down on direct-to-consumer sales for Zepbound, its popular weight-loss drug that is often not covered by insurance. It offers cheaper cash-pay versions for patients bypassing insurance, and Wednesday announced it would partner with Walmart to distribute the drug.

Brian Mulberry, a portfolio manager at Zacks Investment Management, said that while Lilly's fundamentals are solid, expectations remain high. In its last quarterly report, its earnings beat was overshadowed by trial results that disappointed Wall Street.

"For an investor, this appears like a growth-at-a-premium story: the rewards could be substantial if execution remains strong and the pipeline delivers, but the risks are elevated given high expectations and external headwinds," Mulberry said.

The search for the next blockbuster weight-loss drug is well underway, with Lilly, Novo and several others working on new injectables and the next frontier: pills, which are cheaper to manufacture and could be more inviting for those scared of needles.

Meanwhile, Novo andPfizer are in a bidding war for Metsera, a small biotech working on next-gen GLP-1s.

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Broadcom soars on Google’s plans for up to $185 billion in capex this year

Google’s capex guidance is Broadcom’s earnings guidance.

The hyperscaler and search giant said its 2026 capex budget would be between $175 billion and $185 billion, 55% higher than Wall Street had anticipated.

Accordingly, shares of the custom chip specialist are soaring in after-hours trading.

Broadcom has enjoyed a halo effect from Google’s capex plans and the success of its Gemini 3 model (trained on TPUs the two companies codesigned) over the past year.

But the custom chip designer had tumbled after its most recent earnings report, with some analysts attributing the decline to the dearth of new customer announcements. But who needs new customers when your current ones are opening their wallets this much?!?

Accordingly, shares of the custom chip specialist are soaring in after-hours trading.

Broadcom has enjoyed a halo effect from Google’s capex plans and the success of its Gemini 3 model (trained on TPUs the two companies codesigned) over the past year.

But the custom chip designer had tumbled after its most recent earnings report, with some analysts attributing the decline to the dearth of new customer announcements. But who needs new customers when your current ones are opening their wallets this much?!?

(J. Edward Moreno/Sherwood News)

Novo and Lilly agree prices are falling — and disagree on what comes next

Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly are cutting prices to reach more patients — with sharply different expectations about what that means for sales.

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Ozempic is no longer the most searched for GLP-1 in the US

Ozempic, the popular diabetes drug made by Novo Nordisk, used to be shorthand for an entire class of diabetes and weight-loss medications. Not anymore.

According to Google Trends data, as of January, more people in the US are searching for Eli Lilly’s weight-loss shot, Zepbound, than Ozempic. At the same time, interest in the word “Ozempic” now sits roughly on par with searches for “peptides,” a catchall term for a booming, loosely regulated category of experimental supplements.

The numbers hint at a cultural shift: Ozempic is no longer the only word people reach for when they think about weight-loss drugs. The market — and the vocabulary around it — is fragmenting.

This shift also reflected in sales numbers. For several quarters now, Lillys diabetes and weight-loss drugs have outsold Novos, and that gap is expected to widen this year.

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