Markets
Corporate CEO's Speak At The Hill & Valley Forum On Capitol Hill
Alex Karp, CEO of Palantir (Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images)

Everything you need to know ahead of Palantir’s Q2 earnings

The valuation is sky-high. So are expectations.

Investors and analysts are expecting great things from Palantir’s Q2 earnings, which the data analytics, AI software, and defense and intelligence contractor reports Monday after the close.

Wall Street analysts expect Palantir will report:

  • Sales of $939.3 million, up about 39%, according to FactSet data. (That would be Palantir’s second straight quarter of nearly 40% growth.)

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.14, up ~54% from Q2 2024.

  • About $425 million in commercial sales of software, much aimed at helping private corporations better take advantage of AI — up 38% year over year.

  • Roughly $513 million in sales to governments, up 38% compared to last year.

Such sizzling growth rates have helped catalyze Palantir’s remarkable market run over the last few years.

As of Friday, Palantir shares had risen 525% in the prior 12 months. And so far this year, the company’s 104% gain was it enough to make it the top-performing stock in the S&P 500 in 2025. (For what it’s worth, its 340% gain last year also made it No. 1 in 2024. It joined the index in September 2024.)

That run has pushed Palantir into the elite echelon of Corporate America and made shareholders roughly $300 billion wealthier in just the last 12 months. At least on paper.

But it has also pushed Palantir’s valuation — as measured by price-to-sales and price-to-earnings ratios — to arguably lunatic levels, on par with some of the nosebleediest peaks of the tech stock bubble of the late 1990s and early 2000s.

That goes even for companies — like Alphabet, Amazon, and Microsoft — that eventually became some of the greatest profit-producing engines on earth.

If Palantir’s current valuations are taken at face value, they imply remarkable confidence from investors that the company will be able to produce exceptionally fast growth alongside exceptionally fat profit margins for most of the next decade — something exceptionally difficult to do in a supposedly competitive market economy.

That may be why recent reports that Palantir’s largest customer — the US government — was looking to reduce its reliance on key contractors like Palantir whipsawed the stock late last month when the report from The Information hit the tape.

The stock quickly recovered after hitting that air pocket, and clearly Palantir’s prospects are bright.

Late last month, the US Army and Department of Defense announced a 10-year software procurement deal with the company that has a ceiling of $10 billion, potentially making it one of Palantir’s largest deals ever.

More Markets

See all Markets
markets

Broadcom jumps after locking down Google as a customer for future generations of TPUs

Shares of Broadcom rose more than 3% in postmarket trading on Monday after its most important customer doubled down on the custom chip specialist’s ability to produce its most valuable commodity.

In a filing, Broadcom said that it entered into a long-term agreement with Google to supply future generations of TPUs (custom AI accelerator chips) as well as a supply assurance agreement for networking and other equipment “through up to 2031.”

Bernstein analyst Stacy Rasgon indicated that Broadcom’s investor relations team told him that Google’s long-term agreement “has revenue commitments that go along with it through the timeline.”

Gemini 3 launched to rave reviews in November. The model was trained on TPUs co-developed by Broadcom and Google.

The same Monday filing showed that Broadcom, Google, and Anthropic expanded a partnership that will see the Claude developer access 3.5 gigawatts of AI compute capacity beginning in 2027, powered by the TPUs co-designed by the custom chip specialist and the search giant.

Bernstein’s Rasgon added that Broadcom’s team suggested these 3.5 gigawatts are “only part of a larger partnership over time.” He thinks Broadcom’s fiscal year 2027 guidance for AI revenues of $100 billion “is looking increasingly light” thanks to this news.

For what it’s worth, the enhanced pact with Anthropic hinges upon the firm’s ability to afford AI compute. But based on the insane trajectory of its run-rate revenue that may not be a big hurdle to clear.

“Broadcom’s expanded agreements with Google and Anthropic add rare multi-year visibility, reinforcing a $40-$50 billion AI revenue opportunity tied to Anthropic’s 3.5 gigawatt deployment starting in 2027, while building on the previously disclosed 1GW ($10 billion) starting in 2H,” wrote Bloomberg Intelligence analysts Kunjan Sobhani and Oscar Hernandez Tejada.

markets

Health insurers surge after Medicare agrees to pay 2.48% more in 2027, a bigger-than-expected boost

Health insurance stocks are surging after the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services said it plans to boost Medicare Advantage and Part D payments by 2.48% in calendar year 2027.

The likes of CVS, Humana, UnitedHealth, Molina Healthcare, Oscar Health, and Elevance Health are gaining in postmarket trading.

Wall Street analysts had anticipated that rates for 2027 would go up between roughly 1% and 1.5%.

These stocks had gotten crushed in late January when the Trump administration proposed relatively flat federal payment rates.

Insurance companies that provide government-sponsored plans, like Medicare Advantage, faced headwinds from higher-than-expected costs in 2025.

markets

Iran war winners Dow, LyondellBasell downgraded by Bank of America

Dow, Inc. and LyondellBasell — two petrochemicals stocks that surged as markets priced in shortages due to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz — should decline as investors focus on the long-term outlook for normalized petrochemical prices once the war resolves, Bank of America analysts wrote in a note downgrading the two stocks Monday.

BofA moved its rating on the shares from “neutral” to “underperform,” writing:

“Over time, as chemical markets normalize, we expect 1) investor focus to shiſt back to ‘normal’ or ‘sustainable’ earnings profiles and 2) the conflict to resolve without material asset rationalization, both of which likely bias shares lower over the next twelve months.”

Analysts also lowered their stance on another petrochemicals and building materials stock, Westlake, to “neutral” from “buy.”

While cutting those ratings, BofA actually raised its more near-term price targets for the shares. It upped LyondellBasell to $68 from $55, and Dow to $35 from $31.

But those price targets still imply declines of more than 10% compared to where both shares were trading late Monday morning. Both stocks are up roughly 30% since the start of the Iran war.

Latest Stories

Sherwood Media, LLC produces fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and is a fully owned subsidiary of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, Robinhood Derivatives, LLC, or Robinhood Money, LLC. Futures and event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC.