The February reading of the Consumer Price Index showed that headline inflation rose 0.3% month on month, in line with economists’ estimates. On an annual basis, headline CPI was up 2.4% from the prior year.
Core inflation, which strips out food and energy prices, was up 0.2% over the course of the month, also in line with analysts’ views.
Ahead of this release, prediction markets indicated roughly 50% odds that headline CPI would rise more than 0.2% month on month.
(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)
However, these numbers might not be of too much import right now, as the volatility in oil prices following US and Israeli strikes against Iran promises to dominate the inflation outlook in the near term.
