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Luke Kawa

GameStop trading activity looks eerily similar to the run-up of its Q2 frenzy

With a 6.3% spike on Tuesday, GameStop booked at its highest close since June 6 at $31.26.

That’s the day when the stock was halted for volatility (to the upside!) after Keith Gill, aka Roaring Kitty, announced that he’d be hosting a livestream the following day to discuss why he still liked the stock.

It proved to be the high-water mark for the echo boom in the GameStop meme mania 2.0, with the stock slumping almost 60% from that time until it troughed on September 19.

Trading volumes in the actual stock right now are nothing too spectacular — but what stands out is the action in the options market. It’s one way, with hefty demand for call options, and evidence of a whale who’s recently built a significant position in bullish options that will be in the money if the embattled brick-and-mortar retailer gets all the way to $125. There’s little appetite for options that benefit from the stock falling.

The put-to-call ratio was just 0.133 to open the week, and sank even lower to 0.127 on Tuesday. We haven’t had the put-to-call ratio below 0.135 — in other words, nearly eight bullish options trading for every bearish one that’s changing hands — in back-to-back sessions since late April.

That coincides with the time when the last lawsuit that Gill was facing surrounding the original 2021 meme-stock mania was dismissed, and he began accumulating a huge call-options position in GameStop prior to his return to social media on May 12.

It proved to be the high-water mark for the echo boom in the GameStop meme mania 2.0, with the stock slumping almost 60% from that time until it troughed on September 19.

Trading volumes in the actual stock right now are nothing too spectacular — but what stands out is the action in the options market. It’s one way, with hefty demand for call options, and evidence of a whale who’s recently built a significant position in bullish options that will be in the money if the embattled brick-and-mortar retailer gets all the way to $125. There’s little appetite for options that benefit from the stock falling.

The put-to-call ratio was just 0.133 to open the week, and sank even lower to 0.127 on Tuesday. We haven’t had the put-to-call ratio below 0.135 — in other words, nearly eight bullish options trading for every bearish one that’s changing hands — in back-to-back sessions since late April.

That coincides with the time when the last lawsuit that Gill was facing surrounding the original 2021 meme-stock mania was dismissed, and he began accumulating a huge call-options position in GameStop prior to his return to social media on May 12.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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