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GM’s 2024 surge stalls following Trump’s tariff threat

Over the last 12 months the stock has nearly doubled.

Automakers Ford and General Motors are getting buffeted Monday by President-elect Donald Trump’s tweeted tariff threats Tuesday against Mexico, Canada, and China.

It makes sense, seeing as the companies’ vehicles are cobbled together over an elaborate production system that involves both US factories as well as those located in America’s neighbors to the north and south.

But as far as General Motors is concerned, the tumble only underscores what a remarkable run the stock has had recently.

Just a year ago, the stock was getting battered as the company faced challenges galore. First, GM was — along with competitors Ford and Stellantis — enmeshed in contract negotiations with the UAW. Meanwhile, its troubled Cruise self-driving vehicle unit paused operations after losing some licenses to operate in California when one of its robotaxis severely injured a woman. And sales of EVs — an area where Ford and GM had spent billions to retool factories and produce batteries and other components — were slowing.

But since then, GM shares have surged, outpacing not only age-old rival Ford, but also Tesla.

The reason? Profits. The company is within spitting distance of record operating profits, thanks to solid sales of its traditional bread-and-butter offerings of gasoline powered SUVs and pick-up trucks.

But on top of that, it seems that CEO Mary Barra’s strategy of slowly entering the electric car market is bearing fruit, as the New York Times Neil Boudette reported in October:

Sales of G.M.’s battery-powered models are starting to surge as the company begins to reap its big investments in standardized batteries and new factories. Ford's three electric models, including the F-150 Lightning pickup truck and a Transit van, are still selling well but are racking up billions of dollars of losses.

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Live Nation beats Q4 revenue estimates

The company reported earnings results on Thursday.

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AMD to “effectively guarantee” a loan to AI startup Crusoe that will be used to purchase its chips, The Information reports

Advanced Micro Devices will “effectively guarantee” a $300 million loan to data center company Crusoe from Goldman Sachs, according to The Information.

That is, Crusoe is taking out a loan to purchase AMD’s chips, and the chips that it’s purchasing are being used as collateral for that loan.

You’d be forgiven for thinking that this sounds an awful lot like a very common form of borrowing done by American families: borrowing money to buy a house, and having the home be collateral for the mortgage.

One big difference, of course, is that your home is expected to appreciate in value, while AI chips are expected to depreciate in value as they’re used. (The silver lining, however, is that so far these processors haven’t lost value too quickly.)

Another difference is that AMD, per the report, has agreed to rent these chips from Crusoe if it can’t find customers for this compute, which helped reduced the interest rate Crusoe will pay on this loan.

Similarly, in September, Nvidia agreed to buy any of CoreWeave’s unused cloud computing capacity through April 13, 2032, for $6.3 billion.

Rather than get overly hung up on “circular financing” elements, I’d probably frame the issue here like this: everyone wants AI chips. AMD sells AI chips. And yet, in both this deal and the most high-profile one we know about (AMD’s pact with OpenAI), the chip designer seems to be having to go the extra mile to get companies to use its AI chips. You might recall that as part of the OpenAI agreement, AMD issued warrants that enable the ChatGPT developer to receive 160 million shares, or about 10% of the company, if certain operational and stock price targets are hit over time.

Why is it so tough to get buyers on normal terms? My guess would be that this either says something negative about the financing environment for AI startups or the perception of AMD’s AI chips.

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Rental car companies drop amid volatile demand following an “unacceptable” Q4 from Avis

Rental car company Avis shed roughly $1 billion in market cap on Thursday as its stock fell more than 23% following the company’s Q4 results, which CEO Brian Choi called “unacceptable.”

Avis’ adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization came in at $5 million on the quarter, a massive miss compared to the $145.4 million expected by Wall Street analysts polled by FactSet.

Avis said commercial rental days fell 11% in November, as thousands of flights were canceled amid the government shutdown. That led Avis to reduce its fleet size in Q4, “the most difficult period to sell used vehicles.” The company also took a $500 million write-down on its EV fleet at year-end.

“When operational performance speaks for itself, we earn the right to focus on the bigger picture. This quarter, we didn’t earn that right. We fell significantly short of guidance. That’s unacceptable, and I have no excuses to offer,” Choi said on the company’s earnings call.

Avis said it expects lower earnings in the first quarter of 2026, as January was also impacted by weather-related flight cancellations. Rival Hertz was dragged down in the sell-off, dropping more than 14%.

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