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GM surges on better-than-expected Q3 earnings, forecasts a smaller hit from tariffs and higher profits

GM reported third-quarter earnings before the market opened on Tuesday.

Max Knoblauch

Electric vehicle sales and elevated profits revved up GM in the third quarter, sending shares surging more than 9% in premarket trading Tuesday. If these gains hold, it would mark the stock’s best day of the year.

The Detroit automaker posted adjusted diluted earnings per share of $2.80, more than 20% better than Wall Street’s expectations of $2.29 per share. Its sales reached $48.6 billion, slightly down from last year but ahead of Wall Street’s expected $45 billion.

The automaker hiked its full-year diluted earnings outlook to between $9.75 and $10.50, from a range of $8.25 to $10. Analysts polled by FactSet were anticipating $9.46.

GM reported a net tariff impact of $1.1 billion in Q3, matching the second quarter. The automaker lowered its full-year gross tariff impact outlook to between $3.5 billion and $4.5 billion, from between $4 billion and $5 billion.

Electric vehicles were a big seller between July and September, with GM delivering 66,501 EVs in the quarter — a sales record. So far this year, the automaker has sold more than twice as many EVs as it did last year. Much of the third-quarter surge had to do with customers rushing to capitalize on the expiring $7,500 federal EV tax credit.

GM attempted to keep the EV party going with an accounting loophole, but has since scrapped that plan after incurring anger from GOP lawmakers. Earlier this month, GM had said it would take a $1.6 billion hit in Q3 as it adjusts its EV capacity to a lower demand environment.

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Ford raises its full-year guidance, receives $1.3 billion tariff refund

Ford reported its first-quarter results after markets closed on Wednesday. The automaker’s shares climbed roughly 7% in after-hours trading on the news.

For Q1, Ford reported:

  • Adjusted earnings of $0.66 per share, compared to the $0.18 per share expected by Wall Street analysts polled by FactSet. The figure includes Ford’s tariff reimbursement.

  • $43.25 in total revenue, vs. the $42.66 billion consensus forecast. Automotive revenue came in at $39.8 billion, compared to estimates of $38.9 billion.

  • A $1.3 billion tariff refund.

Ford boosted its full-year guidance for adjusted earnings before interest and taxes to between $8.5 billion and $10.5 billion, up from between $8 billion and $10 billion.

Late last year, Ford announced it would take $19.5 billion in charges — one of the largest write-downs ever — relating mostly to its EV business. Of those charges, $7 billion will be spread across this year and next, the company said.

Earlier this month, Ford recorded an 8.8% drop in Q1 sales from the same period last year, a similar result to Detroit rival GM, which posted a 9.7% sales drop.

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Microsoft beats on revenue and earnings in Q3, but only meets expectations for cloud growth

Microsoft shares dipped after the company reported strong Q3 earnings postmarket Wednesday, posting ​​sales of $82.9 billion for the quarter, beating FactSet analyst estimates of $81.4 billion. Earnings per share were $4.27, handily beating estimates of $4.05. 

In a closely watched number, Microsoft’s Azure cloud business increased 40% year on year, just above the 39.7% estimated. The metric technically beat expectations, but may not be the beat investors were looking for.

Total capital expenditure for the quarter was $31.9 billion, up 49% year on year, above estimates of $27.5 billion and down from Q2’s $37.5 billion.

One thing investors were eager to find out: how is the company doing in its effort to fulfill the billions in backlogged commercial bookings? Last quarter, the company reported a staggering $625 billion in remaining performance obligations, and 45% of that was for just one customer — OpenAI.

For the third quarter, Microsoft reported a backlog of $627 billion, up 99% year on year. The company said the RPO increase was 26% — in line with “historical seasonality” — when excluding OpenAI.

Breaking down the results by the company’s business lines:

  • ☁️ 🤖 Intelligent Cloud (Azure, server products): $34.7 billion in revenue, up 30% year on year.

  • 📝 📊 Productivity and Business Processes (Microsoft 365, LinkedIn, Dynamics): $35 billion in revenue, up 17% year on year.

  • 💻 🎮 More Personal Computing (Windows, Xbox, Bing): $13.2 billion in revenue, down 1% year on year.

Microsoft CFO Amy Hood said in the earnings release:

“We delivered results that exceeded expectations across revenue, operating income, and earnings per share, reflecting strong execution and growing demand for the Microsoft Cloud.”

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