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Gold slumps, GLD and miners take lumps

The record-breaking rise in gold stalled Tuesday, with prices tumbling.

The sudden downdraft hammered popular plays on the price such as the SPDR Gold Shares ETF, the largest gold ETF, which is poised for its biggest daily drop since April 2013 as of 11:52 a.m. ET.

Miners like Newmont Corp., Agnico Eagle, Wheaton Precious Metals, and Anglogold Ashanti are similarly getting whacked along with a host of speculative, high-beta momentum trades.

While there’s no clear reason for the slump, theories and contributing factors may include:

  • Social media chatter about gold — which coincided with a spike in options activity — cooling off considerably, according to data provided by SwaggyStocks. JPMorgan strategist Arun Jain notes that retail demand for commodity ETFs has reversed course: after routinely registering in the upper 90th percentiles much of last week, it’s in just the 2nd percentile relative to its one-year average as of 11:00 a.m. ET, with retail having pulled more than $50 million from these products.

  • Less safe haven demand now amid a seeming reduction in China-US tensions.

  • A seasonal drop in demand out of India — the world’s second-largest gold market after China — that typically follows Diwali.

  • Jitters about the fact that weekly CFTC positioning data on the futures market, one of the best sources of hard data on the gold market, continues to be unavailable as a result of the US government shutdown.

But even after today’s slump, gold prices, as measured by New York futures prices, are up about 60% in 2025.

While there’s no clear reason for the slump, theories and contributing factors may include:

  • Social media chatter about gold — which coincided with a spike in options activity — cooling off considerably, according to data provided by SwaggyStocks. JPMorgan strategist Arun Jain notes that retail demand for commodity ETFs has reversed course: after routinely registering in the upper 90th percentiles much of last week, it’s in just the 2nd percentile relative to its one-year average as of 11:00 a.m. ET, with retail having pulled more than $50 million from these products.

  • Less safe haven demand now amid a seeming reduction in China-US tensions.

  • A seasonal drop in demand out of India — the world’s second-largest gold market after China — that typically follows Diwali.

  • Jitters about the fact that weekly CFTC positioning data on the futures market, one of the best sources of hard data on the gold market, continues to be unavailable as a result of the US government shutdown.

But even after today’s slump, gold prices, as measured by New York futures prices, are up about 60% in 2025.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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