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Google’s biggest deal ever comes with a $3.2 billion gamble

Google just inked a $32 billion acquisition of cloud security firm Wiz — its largest-ever deal — after reportedly upping its original $23 billion offer from last year, which had fallen apart over regulatory concerns. Notably, the latest deal carries a staggering $3.2 billion breakup fee (10% of the deal’s value), which Alphabet would pay Wiz if the deal falls through, far above the usual 4% to 7% seen in tech M&A, per Reuters

What’s behind the big gamble?

Wiz’s rapid growth, with annual revenues reportedly growing 70% year on year, and Google’s urgent push to compete with Amazon’s AWS division and Microsoft’s Azure in cloud computing drove the deal, while a shift in FTC leadership under President Trump gave both sides the confidence to push ahead after months of back-and-forth talks, according to sources speaking to Reuters.

It’s hard to judge exactly how Wall Street feels about the deal’s sky-high price tag: Alphabet shares fell 4% after the news yesterday — but then so did many of its Big Tech peers. Furthermore, despite it being the company’s largest, the acquisition still only represents ~1.5% of GOOGL’s $2 trillion market value.

What’s behind the big gamble?

Wiz’s rapid growth, with annual revenues reportedly growing 70% year on year, and Google’s urgent push to compete with Amazon’s AWS division and Microsoft’s Azure in cloud computing drove the deal, while a shift in FTC leadership under President Trump gave both sides the confidence to push ahead after months of back-and-forth talks, according to sources speaking to Reuters.

It’s hard to judge exactly how Wall Street feels about the deal’s sky-high price tag: Alphabet shares fell 4% after the news yesterday — but then so did many of its Big Tech peers. Furthermore, despite it being the company’s largest, the acquisition still only represents ~1.5% of GOOGL’s $2 trillion market value.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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