The housing market is finally responding to lower interest rates
Less money spent on interest payments frees up more cash for households to spend everywhere else.
The sharp drop in mortgage rates over the last six months — when the 30-year fixed mortgage rate dove from more than 7% to nearly 6% — is finally generating a reaction. Refinancing activity has picked up sharply, with the Mortgage Bankers Association’s weekly refinancing index rising to its highest level since early 2022.
By way of background, this is exactly how the Fed’s monetary policy shift to cutting rates is supposed to feed through to the economy.
As the Fed signaled it would cut rates, long term government bond yields dropped, pulling mortgage rates down too.
When homeowners refinance, this typically reduces the amount of money they pay for housing, putting additional cash in their pocket to be spent elsewhere.
And depending on how far mortgage rates fall, this helpful economic trend could continue for a while, offering a much-needed tailwind for the economy.
Of course, if mortgage rates fall too low, that could be an unwelcome signal that something has gone pretty wrong in the US job market.