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Housing stocks rise after Trump calls for $200 billion mortgage bond purchase

Housing-related stocks rose in after-hours trading yesterday, and remained in the green early on Friday, after President Trump said he would direct a large-scale purchase of mortgage bonds in a bid to lower borrowing costs.

In a Truth Social post yesterday, Trump said he is instructing his Representatives to buy $200 billion in mortgage bonds, arguing the move will drive Mortgage Rates DOWN, monthly payments DOWN, and make the cost of owning a home more affordable. The purchase will be executed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, per an X post by Bill Pulte, director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency, which oversees the two firms.

Shares of mortgage lenders surged early Friday, with Rocket Companies and UWM Holdings both up around 6% as of 7 a.m. ET and LoanDepot rising as much as 16.8%. Online real estate platform Opendoor Technologies jumped 8.4%, while home builders like Lennar saw more modest gains.

According to Trumps post, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are now worth many timeswhat they were in his first term — a result he attributed to his decision not to sell the firms — creating AN ABSOLUTE FORTUNE and leaving them with $200 BILLION DOLLARS IN CASH.

Filings suggest that figure may refer more to liquidity than cash on hand. Per Reuters, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac held less than $17 billion in combined cash and cash equivalents as of September 30, though they control ~$192 billion when including other liquid assets. Pulte told Reuters that the firms have ample liquidity to carry out Trumps purchase order.

The Wall Street Journal also noted that the companies do have room on their balance sheets to add mortgage bonds: each is permitted to hold up to $225 billion in mortgage-backed securities, but together hold about $247 billion as of November, leaving roughly $200 billion in remaining capacity.

While the impact on mortgage rates remains uncertain, economists estimate the purchase would likely put some downward pressure by around 0.25 percentage points, while others predict a smaller effect of roughly 0.10 to 0.15 percentage points.

The move comes as Trump has promised to unveil some of the most aggressive housing reform plans in American history in a December address. Earlier this week, he said he would ban large institutional investors from buying single-family homes to ease the housing shortage.

The US housing market remains deeply strained, with home sales having fallen to their lowest since the 1990s and homeowners experiencing the worst lock-in effect in more than four decades. Thirty-year mortgage rates remain elevated, now hovering around 6.2%.

According to Trumps post, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are now worth many timeswhat they were in his first term — a result he attributed to his decision not to sell the firms — creating AN ABSOLUTE FORTUNE and leaving them with $200 BILLION DOLLARS IN CASH.

Filings suggest that figure may refer more to liquidity than cash on hand. Per Reuters, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac held less than $17 billion in combined cash and cash equivalents as of September 30, though they control ~$192 billion when including other liquid assets. Pulte told Reuters that the firms have ample liquidity to carry out Trumps purchase order.

The Wall Street Journal also noted that the companies do have room on their balance sheets to add mortgage bonds: each is permitted to hold up to $225 billion in mortgage-backed securities, but together hold about $247 billion as of November, leaving roughly $200 billion in remaining capacity.

While the impact on mortgage rates remains uncertain, economists estimate the purchase would likely put some downward pressure by around 0.25 percentage points, while others predict a smaller effect of roughly 0.10 to 0.15 percentage points.

The move comes as Trump has promised to unveil some of the most aggressive housing reform plans in American history in a December address. Earlier this week, he said he would ban large institutional investors from buying single-family homes to ease the housing shortage.

The US housing market remains deeply strained, with home sales having fallen to their lowest since the 1990s and homeowners experiencing the worst lock-in effect in more than four decades. Thirty-year mortgage rates remain elevated, now hovering around 6.2%.

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Lucid climbs after announcements of new CEO and expanded robotaxi partnership with Uber

Shares of luxury EV maker Lucid climbed more than 12% in premarket trading on Tuesday following two announcements, before news of a public stock offering erased most of the gains.

First, the company announced it has found a permanent CEO in Silvio Napoli. Napoli was formerly CEO of the Schindler Group, one of the world’s biggest manufacturers of elevators and escalators.

Lucid has been led by interim CEO Marc Winterhoff for more than a year, who will now step into the role of chief operating officer.

Lucid also announced an expansion of its robotaxi partnership with Uber from 20,000 planned vehicles to 35,000. Uber will increase its investment in Lucid by $200 million, bringing the total to $500 million. The PIF, Saudi Arabia’s sovereign wealth fund, also committed a new investment of $550 million into the company.

The company is still planning a commercial launch of its robotaxi service with Uber later this year in the Bay Area.

Following those updates, Lucid said it would raise an additional $300 million through a public stock offering. Its premarket gain decreased to about 5%.

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CarMax sinks following Q4 earnings report

Used car retailer CarMax reported its fourth-quarter earnings before the bell on Tuesday. It’s shares fell about 7% in premarket trading.

The company reported:

  • Adjusted earnings of $0.34 per share, compared to Wall Street estimates of $0.23 per share compiled by FactSet.

  • Sales of $5.9 billion, above expectations of $5.7 billion.

  • Retail gross profit per unit of $2,115, slightly below estimates and down $207 from the year prior.

  • 181,188 used vehicles sold to retail customers, down about 1% from the year prior.

For fiscal 2027, CarMax said it expects to open four new stores. The company expects retail GPU (gross profit per unit) to “decline at a rate broadly in line with our Q4 FY 2026 year-over-year trend.”

CarMax has seen elevated interest in EVs and hybrids in recent weeks, as gas prices continue to climb amid the war in Iran. Last month, the company told Sherwood News that page views for EV and hybrids had risen more than 9% compared to the month prior.

Activist investor Starboard recently took a $350 million stake in CarMax, urging the company to cut costs and adopt more dynamic pricing. Last week, it was announced that CarMax would add two board members after talks with Starboard.

$286🛢️

HSBC Groups CEO, Georges Elhedery, just broke down why end buyers of oil are facing prices way above what traders see on their screens.

During a fireside chat with Bloomberg TV’s David Ingles at HSBC’s Global Investment Summit, Elhedery explained why his “biggest worry about the global economy is the disruption that’s coming from the Strait of Hormuz closure, or quasi closure.”

While the ceasefire between the US and Iran was intended to improve the flow of oil through this key choke point, the subsequent announcement of a US blockade of the waterway threatens to do precisely the opposite.

And that’s potentially prolonging, or exacerbating, the pain for crude importers, as Elhedery unpacked:

“What worries me is not the headlines. I mean, oil headline is above $100, $110. Realistically, if you are now trying to get oil from the Middle East, you may be paying $140, $150.

Realistically, if you try to get oil from the Red Sea, you are paying more than $30, $40 for shipping. Insurance costs, which used to be 25 basis points, is more like 5%, and war insurance has been scrapped — you’re paying 5% without even the war insurance component.

So the barrel of oil door to door or the barrel of refined oil door to door is way above the headline price of oil. The highest I’ve seen, and I’m hoping we don’t see more of that, but the highest I’ve seen is $286 for a barrel of oil that reached Sri Lanka. This is not a country and an economy that can easily afford these kind of prices sustainably.”

In a separate interview with Bloomberg News, Elhedery warned that the continuation of these shipping disruptions would be felt not just in the price of energy, but also its availability.

Separately, the International Energy Agency updated its oil market outlook, with the Paris-based organization now forecasting a contraction in both supply and demand for oil, predicting an “80,000 bpd drop in demand growth this year, from a 640,000 bpd rise in its ​March report,” according to Reuters.

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American Airlines jumps on potential merger talks with United

American Airlines was trading up more than 5% in premarket on Tuesday after Bloomberg and Reuters reported that United Airlines CEO Scott Kirby had floated the idea of a possible merger with American Airlines.

According to Reuters, Kirby raised the idea during a February White House meeting with President Trump, though it remains unclear whether United has made any formal approach to American or whether any deal process is underway.

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