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HP slides on weak 2026 outlook and layoffs despite topping quarterly estimates

HP slumped more than 5% in premarket trading after the computer and printer giant announced weaker-than-expected guidance for fiscal 2026 alongside plans for a roughly 10% cut to its workforce. The company reported having 58,000 employees as of October 2024, per its latest annual filing.

For the fiscal fourth quarter ended October 31, sales rose 4% year over year to $14.64 billion, topping the $14.48 billion expected. Adjusted earnings per share came in at $0.93, just about 1% ahead of the LSEG consensus.

What spooked investors was HP’s soft FY2026 EPS forecast of $2.90 to $3.20, well below Wall Street’s $3.33 estimate at the midpoint. The company said its outlook reflects “the added cost driven by the current U.S. trade-related regulations in place, and associated mitigations.”

Behind the muted outlook is a sharp rise in memory chip prices — now 15% to 18% of a typical PC’s cost — which may offset some of the lift HP’s PC business is getting from Windows 11 upgrades, while the printer segment remains a drag, with revenue down 4% as customers delay purchases.

The company also announced plans to reduce global headcount by around 4,000 to 6,000 employees as part of a restructuring tied to a new AI push — with CEO Enrique Lores saying in an interview with Yahoo Finance that AI will eventually do many tasks better and faster. HP expects the plan to generate $1 billion in annualized savings by FY2028. The move mirrors its 2022 restructuring, which also targeted up to 6,000 job cuts and ultimately delivered $2.2 billion in gross savings, per the company.

With this morning’s slide, HP shares are down nearly 30% for the year.

What spooked investors was HP’s soft FY2026 EPS forecast of $2.90 to $3.20, well below Wall Street’s $3.33 estimate at the midpoint. The company said its outlook reflects “the added cost driven by the current U.S. trade-related regulations in place, and associated mitigations.”

Behind the muted outlook is a sharp rise in memory chip prices — now 15% to 18% of a typical PC’s cost — which may offset some of the lift HP’s PC business is getting from Windows 11 upgrades, while the printer segment remains a drag, with revenue down 4% as customers delay purchases.

The company also announced plans to reduce global headcount by around 4,000 to 6,000 employees as part of a restructuring tied to a new AI push — with CEO Enrique Lores saying in an interview with Yahoo Finance that AI will eventually do many tasks better and faster. HP expects the plan to generate $1 billion in annualized savings by FY2028. The move mirrors its 2022 restructuring, which also targeted up to 6,000 job cuts and ultimately delivered $2.2 billion in gross savings, per the company.

With this morning’s slide, HP shares are down nearly 30% for the year.

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Deere drops as tariffs and a weak profit forecast weigh down a Q4 sales beat

A sales and profit beat weren’t enough to stem Deere investors’ tariff unease on Wednesday, when the company dropped its fourth-quarter earnings report. Deere shares slipped about 4% in premarket trading.

Deere posted adjusted earnings of $3.93 per share, beating the $3.84 estimate from Wall Street analysts polled by FactSet. The company also said it expects full-year 2026 profit to land between $4 billion and $4.75 billion. Wall Street expected more than $5 billion.

According to CEO John May, “ongoing margin pressures from tariffs and persistent challenges in the large ag sector remain” and 2026 will “mark the bottom of the large ag cycle.” May said he believes the company’s cost-control efforts will allow it to seize opportunities as the market recovers.

In its fourth quarter, Deere also:

  • Booked $12.4 billion in total revenue, beating expectations by more than 5%.

  • Logged a 27% net sales jump in its construction and forestry division. However, the company said tariffs were a headwind for the division's operating profits.

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Robinhood jumps after forming joint venture to enhance its prediction markets business

Shares of Robinhood Markets are on the rise in premarket trading after the brokerage announced after the close on Tuesday a joint venture with Susquehanna to enhance its prediction market business.

The pair is launching an independent futures and derivatives exchange and clearinghouse, with Robinhood as the controlling partner and Susquehanna serving as the liquidity provider, and is expected to begin operations next year. In a related move, the joint venture is acquiring 90% of MIAXdx, a derivatives exchange that was once a part of FTX.

(Robinhood Markets Inc. is the parent company of Sherwood Media, an independently operated media company subject to certain legal and regulatory restrictions.)

Currently, Robinhood offers access to contracts with probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC. The joint venture would have the tools needed to operate an event contracts business independently and the potential to gain a bigger share of the revenues associated with this fast-growing product line thanks to the brokerage’s ample distribution network.

Per the press release:

“Prediction Markets have quickly become Robinhood’s fastest-growing product line by revenue. Just one year since launch, 9 billion contracts have been traded by more than 1 million Robinhood customers. By introducing a robust, institutional-grade exchange to the market, we’ll add more choices for consumers. We’ll also gain the flexibility to build faster and deliver more contracts and services to traders.”

Bank of America analysts recently warned that the boom in prediction markets and online gambling was creating “emerging credit risks” for some lenders.

Dell Double Downgrade

Dell gives upbeat Q4 guidance, beats on Q3 earnings

Q3 revenue was a little light, but shares are trading higher early on Thursday as investors digest the strong Q4 outlook.

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