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Oracle slides as traders sour on the recently anointed AI darling

Oracle is getting hit hard as investors question the durability of the AI boom.

Since the stock hit an all-time high in September, powered by the company’s $300 billion deal with OpenAI, shares are down about 40%.

And it’s not just the company’s share price that’s reflecting investors’ newfound jitters.

Volume in the market for credit default swaps — essentially a kind of insurance against a company defaulting on its debts — is surging as the company has supercharged its borrowing to finance its AI ambitions, Bloomberg’s Caleb Mutua reports:

“The price to protect against the company defaulting on its debt for five years tripled in recent months to as high as about 1.11 percentage point a year on Wednesday, or around $111,000 for every $10 million of principal protected, according to ICE Data Services.

As AI skeptics rushed in, trading volume on the company’s CDS ballooned to about $5 billion over the seven weeks ended Nov. 14, according to Barclays Plc credit strategist Jigar Patel. That’s up from a little more than $200 million in the same period last year.”

The activity in the Oracle CDS market underscores continued focus from investors on the risks associated with AI, even after Nvidia’s knockout earnings results Wednesday and efforts to quell persistent questions about an AI bubble.

Such concerns seem to have gotten the better of the market yesterday, with the S&P 500, after being up almost 2%, reversing hard back into the red. Today, markets are being propped up, in part, by a key Fed official's comments supporting a "near term" rate cut.

Volume in the market for credit default swaps — essentially a kind of insurance against a company defaulting on its debts — is surging as the company has supercharged its borrowing to finance its AI ambitions, Bloomberg’s Caleb Mutua reports:

“The price to protect against the company defaulting on its debt for five years tripled in recent months to as high as about 1.11 percentage point a year on Wednesday, or around $111,000 for every $10 million of principal protected, according to ICE Data Services.

As AI skeptics rushed in, trading volume on the company’s CDS ballooned to about $5 billion over the seven weeks ended Nov. 14, according to Barclays Plc credit strategist Jigar Patel. That’s up from a little more than $200 million in the same period last year.”

The activity in the Oracle CDS market underscores continued focus from investors on the risks associated with AI, even after Nvidia’s knockout earnings results Wednesday and efforts to quell persistent questions about an AI bubble.

Such concerns seem to have gotten the better of the market yesterday, with the S&P 500, after being up almost 2%, reversing hard back into the red. Today, markets are being propped up, in part, by a key Fed official's comments supporting a "near term" rate cut.

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JetBlue takes off on bullish options activity

Low-cost airline JetBlue is up more than 8% on Tuesday, on pace for its biggest daily gain since August. If the price momentum holds, Tuesday will mark JetBlue’s sixth-best trading day of the past 52 weeks.

The carrier is being propelled by bullish options activity, with more than 53,000 call options changing hands as of 12:14 p.m. ET, nearly 4x the 20-day average for a full session.

JetBlue closed up 4.6% on Monday, as traders appeared to price in medium-term oil supply relief due to the possibility of Venezuela’s reserves getting more developed amid tensions with the US.

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Moderna rallies after BofA raises its price target to $24 from $21

Moderna rose on Tuesday after Bank of America analysts raised their price target for the ailing biotech behind the COVID-19 vaccine, painting a rosy picture of the products in its pipeline.

BofA kept Moderna’s “underperform” rating but raised its price target to $24 from $21, which now accounts for “refreshed revenue builds for lead assets.” Analysts said the company’s cost-cutting measures, paired with potential new revenue from its investigatory oncology vaccines, could bring it back to profitability in the coming years.

Moderna is best known for being tapped by the US government to quickly develop a vaccine for COVID-19 in 2020, a product that remains its single source of revenue. The company has yet to bring new products to market and is now faced with a second Trump administration hostile to that product.

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Roblox drops following overnight outages and a lowered price target from TD Cowen

Gaming platform Roblox fell as much as 7% on Tuesday, following reports of widespread outages overnight and a lowered price target from TD Cowen.

Downdetector, a monitoring service that uses “signals from its own websites, social media platforms and other sources” to analyze outages, tracked roughly 22 outage reports per second at peak overnight Monday into Tuesday.

Meanwhile, TD Cowen issued a new research note on Roblox Tuesday, lowering its price target on the stock to $70 from $77. Analyst Doug Creutz wrote that user engagement with the platform’s biggest hits, including “Grow a Garden” and “Steal a Brainrot,” declined 52% between mid-September and mid-December. The firm lowered its fiscal year bookings estimate from $8.48 billion to $8.09 billion.

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Data storage stocks surge as Nvidia CEO calls the market “completely unserved”

Sandisk soared in early trading, leading the pack of data storage stocks that topped the market last year — including Western Digital, Micron, and Seagate Technology Holdings — sharply higher Tuesday.

Despite little news on Sandisk itself, its shares were trading at a furious rate. Shortly before 10 a.m. ET, roughly 4.1 million had changed hands, more than 3x as much as normal for that stage of the session.

Besides benefiting from a broad upswing in AI-related trades on Tuesday, memory chip and data storage makers have soared, alongside prices for their products, in an rally that started late last year.

Closely watched comments from Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang at the Consumer Electronics Show underscored the strong outlook for demand from the AI industry for data storage.

“This market will likely be the largest storage market in the world, basically holding the working memory of the world’s AIs,” he told analysts at the trade show Monday, who called storage “a completely unserved market today.”

That demand seems set to continue to push prices up in early 2026, according to Morgan Stanley analysts.

In a note published Tuesday, tech hardware analysts at the bank wrote that prices for DRAM memory, which Micron makes, are expected to increase 40% to 70% quarter over quarter in Q1.

Similarly prices for NAND flash memory — a crucial form of memory for long-term storage and the heart of Sandisk’s products — are expected to increase 30% to 35% in Q1 2026, Morgan Stanley analysts said, citing industry estimates.

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Nvidia’s partners really want you to know they’re involved with Vera Rubin, too

Everybody’s trying to get on the Vera Rubin rocket ship.

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang’s confirmation that its new flagship AI chips are in “full production” sparked a flurry of announcements from partners reminding us that they’ll also be involved in this rollout, sending their stocks meaningfully higher on Tuesday, before most pared gains.

  • Nvidia-backed Nebius “will deploy the NVIDIA Rubin platform through Nebius AI Cloud and Nebius Token Factory, unlocking next-generation reasoning and agentic AI capabilities for customers starting H2 2026.”

  • Also Nvidia-backed CoreWeave said it expects “to be among the first cloud providers to deploy the NVIDIA Rubin platform in the second half of 2026, offering its customers greater flexibility and choice as AI systems scale.”

  • Server company Super Micro Computer announced “expansions in manufacturing capacity and liquid-cooling capabilities, in collaboration with NVIDIA, to enable first-to-market delivery of data center-scale solutions optimized for the NVIDIA Vera Rubin and Rubin platforms.”

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