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Intel missed the chip boom, now investors, and rivals, are circling

Multiple parties are exploring investing in, or buying all of, Intel, Inc.

It’s been a good few years to be in the chip-making business — but Intel missed the memo.

Once the most valuable US semiconductor company, Intel has missed most of the AI wave that has propelled the share prices of its competitors. And now private equity firms and competitors are circling. Late Friday, The Wall Street Journal reported that fellow chipmaker Qualcomm has approached Intel about a potential acquisition, while Apollo is reportedly considering a $5 billion investment as the company embarks on an ambitious turnaround plan.

Intel’s stock has shed more than 56% of its value since 2021, while the broader semiconductor sector has experienced explosive growth. In response, the company announced a series of drastic measures last month, including cutting 15,000 jobs, slashing capital expenditures, and eliminating its annual dividend.

Wires crossed

Per The Economist, while many competitors adopted a "fabless" model, outsourcing chip production to foundries like TSMC, Intel doubled down on both designing and manufacturing its own chips. This eventually left the company trailing behind in the race to produce the fastest chips with the smallest transistors — an ironic fate for the birthplace of Moore’s Law.

The AI revolution further laid bare Intel’s lack of innovation. As demand shifted towards graphics processing units (GPUs), Intel’s focus on central processors (CPUs) was unhelpful. Nvidia famously “bet the farm” on the AI trend, and has since surged to a multi-trillion-dollar valuation. Meanwhile, Intel reported a $1.6 billion operating loss last month, resulting in the worst single-day drop in its stock price.

Despite securing funding through the CHIPS Act and announcing a partnership with Amazon to produce chips for AWS last week, Intel shares continue to hover around a decade low. Clearly, investors within both Apollo & Qualcomm see some potential for a turnaround.

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Lucid climbs after announcements of new CEO and expanded robotaxi partnership with Uber

Shares of luxury EV maker Lucid climbed more than 12% in premarket trading on Tuesday following two announcements, before news of a public stock offering erased most of the gains.

First, the company announced it has found a permanent CEO in Silvio Napoli. Napoli was formerly CEO of the Schindler Group, one of the world’s biggest manufacturers of elevators and escalators.

Lucid has been led by interim CEO Marc Winterhoff for more than a year, who will now step into the role of chief operating officer.

Lucid also announced an expansion of its robotaxi partnership with Uber from 20,000 planned vehicles to 35,000. Uber will increase its investment in Lucid by $200 million, bringing the total to $500 million. The PIF, Saudi Arabia’s sovereign wealth fund, also committed a new investment of $550 million into the company.

The company is still planning a commercial launch of its robotaxi service with Uber later this year in the Bay Area.

Following those updates, Lucid said it would raise an additional $300 million through a public stock offering. Its premarket gain decreased to about 5%.

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CarMax sinks following Q4 earnings report

Used car retailer CarMax reported its fourth-quarter earnings before the bell on Tuesday. Its shares fell about 7% in premarket trading.

The company reported:

  • Adjusted earnings of $0.34 per share, compared to Wall Street estimates of $0.23 per share, as compiled by FactSet.

  • Sales of $5.9 billion, above expectations of $5.7 billion.

  • Retail gross profit per unit of $2,115, slightly below estimates and down $207 from the year prior.

  • 181,188 used vehicles sold to retail customers, down about 1% from the year prior.

For fiscal 2027, CarMax said it expects to open four new stores. The company expects retail GPU (gross profit per unit) to “decline at a rate broadly in line with our Q4 FY 2026 year-over-year trend.”

CarMax has seen elevated interest in EVs and hybrids in recent weeks, as gas prices continue to climb amid the war in Iran. Last month, the company told Sherwood News that page views for EVs and hybrids had risen more than 9% compared to the month prior.

Activist investor Starboard recently took a $350 million stake in CarMax, urging the company to cut costs and adopt more dynamic pricing. Last week, it was announced that CarMax would add two board members after talks with Starboard.

$286🛢️

HSBC Groups CEO, Georges Elhedery, just broke down why end buyers of oil are facing prices way above what traders see on their screens.

During a fireside chat with Bloomberg TV’s David Ingles at HSBC’s Global Investment Summit, Elhedery explained why his “biggest worry about the global economy is the disruption that’s coming from the Strait of Hormuz closure, or quasi closure.”

While the ceasefire between the US and Iran was intended to improve the flow of oil through this key choke point, the subsequent announcement of a US blockade of the waterway threatens to do precisely the opposite.

And that’s potentially prolonging, or exacerbating, the pain for crude importers, as Elhedery unpacked:

“What worries me is not the headlines. I mean, oil headline is above $100, $110. Realistically, if you are now trying to get oil from the Middle East, you may be paying $140, $150.

Realistically, if you try to get oil from the Red Sea, you are paying more than $30, $40 for shipping. Insurance costs, which used to be 25 basis points, is more like 5%, and war insurance has been scrapped — you’re paying 5% without even the war insurance component.

So the barrel of oil door to door or the barrel of refined oil door to door is way above the headline price of oil. The highest I’ve seen, and I’m hoping we don’t see more of that, but the highest I’ve seen is $286 for a barrel of oil that reached Sri Lanka. This is not a country and an economy that can easily afford these kind of prices sustainably.”

In a separate interview with Bloomberg News, Elhedery warned that the continuation of these shipping disruptions would be felt not just in the price of energy, but also its availability.

Separately, the International Energy Agency updated its oil market outlook, with the Paris-based organization now forecasting a contraction in both supply and demand for oil, predicting an “80,000 bpd drop in demand growth this year, from a 640,000 bpd rise in its ​March report,” according to Reuters.

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American Airlines jumps on potential merger talks with United

American Airlines was trading up more than 5% in premarket trading on Tuesday after Bloomberg and Reuters reported that United Airlines CEO Scott Kirby had floated the idea of a possible merger with American Airlines.

According to Reuters, Kirby raised the idea during a February White House meeting with President Trump, though it remains unclear whether United has made any formal approach to American or whether any deal process is underway.

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