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Low vol won’t fall

Boring stocks are on a record streak the S&P 500 has never touched

The Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF hasn’t gone down for 16 consecutive sessions.

Luke Kawa

Low volatility stocks simply won’t go down.

The Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF, which offers exposure to companies that generally move less than the typical stock, hasn’t posted a daily loss since August 12.

Sixteen straight sessions without a down day is by far its longest streak since inception in 2011. For reference, going back to 1928, the S&P 500 and its predecessor indexes haven’t had a non-losing streak longer than 14 days.

The fund, known by its ticker SPLV, is up 5.3% since August 12 through September 4, compared to a gain of 3.3% for the S&P 500 over the same period. 

Despite the steadiness of its returns, this ETF had been trailing S&P 500 since the start of its non-losing streak until Tuesday, when the benchmark index suffered a more than 2% decline and SPLV inched higher.

The slow grind higher in low volatility stocks is yet another signal that investors are taking a safety-first approach amid uncertainty about the state of the US labor market as the Federal Reserve prepares to cut interest rates later this month.

Unsurprisingly, SPLV’s streak has coincided with strong gains for utilities and consumer staples stocks – two sectors the ETF has much more exposure to than the S&P 500.

Spending on the basic necessities (food and electricity) tends to be less sensitive to changes in overall economic conditions than, say, splurging on new TVs or cruises. That’s why they’re the basic necessities. 

The outperformance of low volatility stocks during a rally generally has less-than-stellar implications for the future near-term performance of the S&P 500.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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