Markets
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Luke Kawa

It’s not different for bitcoin this time after crypto suffers from Winklevoss jinx

The hope, for bitcoin maxis, is that the preeminent cryptocurrency carves out a unique place in the financial system, rather than just being another way to get exposure to US tech stocks.

To that end, Gemini cofounder Tyler Winklevoss highlighted the seeming resilience of bitcoin through most of the weekend, suggesting that it was “behaving like a hedge to geopolitical uncertainty.”

As the community note shows, the comments were ill timed, with the crypto complex slumping nearly immediately thereafter. It happens!

However, maybe Winklevoss should’ve thought before sending that micro missive in the first place: the six-month correlation of weekly returns between bitcoin and the Invesco QQQ Trust, which tracks the Nasdaq 100, was at one of its most elevated levels relative to history even before Sunday night’s drubbing got underway.

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Luke Kawa
8/17/26
Credit markets have a “debt” problem, not a “risk” problem

We’re getting a lot of borrowing, and that borrowing is risk-reducing (for now!)

New York City Architecture And Monuments
Luke Kawa
7/13/26
Meet the newly public, Bezos-backed company that’s recreating the sun and stars

General Fusion CEO Greg Twinney spoke with Sherwood News from the Nasdaq during the stock’s first day of trading.

Web Summit Vancouver 2026 - Day Three
markets
J. Edward Moreno

SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

Luke Kawa
7/2/26
US job growth falls far short of estimates in June; unemployment rate unexpectedly dips to 4.2%

Job growth was 57,000. Analysts foresaw job growth of 113,000; prediction markets were more optimistic, looking for job growth above 125,000 but below 150,000.

Floridians Seek Employment Opportunities At Job Fair In Sunrise
Luke Kawa
7/1/26
Meta surges on report it’s starting a cloud business to sell excess AI compute

The story of the hyperscalers in 2026 has largely been “the beatings will continue until the cash flow outlook improves;” this could help change the story for Meta. Or not.

Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg visits U.S. Capitol for Senate meetings

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