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2024-04-29-yen-FINAL-NEW

The yen has dropped to its lowest value in over 34 years

Yen descend

The currency of the world’s fourth largest economy is plummeting, with ¥100 buying just $0.63 on Friday — its lowest rate in over 34 years, just as Japan's Golden Week holiday period kicks off.

The weaker yen is a boon for Japanese exporters and foreign visitors, who have been increasingly flocking to the country in recent times. Indeed, last month a record 3.08M foreign travelers visited the island nation, which was slower than others to re-open borders after the pandemic, only relaxing restrictions in October 2022.

The yen's depreciation is a perfect case study for economics teachers around the world. While most major central banks have aggressively hiked rates to combat inflation, Japan's rates remain near zero — fueling a classic “carry trade”, where investors borrow the currency cheaply and sell it to invest in higher-yielding currencies or assets (i.e. stuff that’s likely not in Japan), driving down the buying power of yen.

The US, meanwhile, is at a different stage in its cycle, attracting buyers for its currency as the Federal Reserve signals it might need to maintain higher interest rates for longer amidst lingering inflation.

A weaker yen could reshape the Japanese economy, making the country’s exports more competitive and foreign imports more expensive. In the short term, Japanese authorities have appeared publicly sanguine about the devaluation, although a sharp jump in yen this morning has been met with strong suspicions that the government may have moved to support the currency.

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Samsung’s massive Q1 fails to lift Sandisk, other data center plays

Almost all memory stocks slipped Tuesday, despite getting a positive update on the massive flood of money pouring into the sector from the AI build-out, as the potential escalation of the US war with Iran Tuesday evening overshadowed Samsung’s blowout numbers.

Korean chip giant Samsung Electronics reported preliminary Q1 results showing operating profit up by 755% compared to Q1 2025, trouncing pretty elevated expectations for a gain of about 550%.

Samsung is the world’s largest producer of NAND and DRAM chips. Once considered low-value commodity inputs to tech products, NAND and DRAM prices have exploded over the last six months amid a hyperscaler scramble to secure chips that can manage the surfeit of data produced by AI.

The same dynamics have made memory plays like Sandisk, Western Digital, and Micron some of the best-performing stocks in the S&P 500 over the last 12 months.

But other than Seagate Technology Holdings, those stocks were down Tuesday as of 11:15 a.m. ET, as the surge in oil prices and ongoing war with Iran muted much of the AI data center trade excitement. Bellwethers like Nvidia and hyperscalers like Oracle and Meta were struggling early, as were data center input makers like Corning and Coherent, AI power plays like GE Vernova, Vertiv Holdings, and even hard-hat builders of the shells that house all those AI servers.

On the other hand, some so-called optical stocks — makers of fiber-optic connections that quickly shift data between users, hyperscalers, and all around data centers themselves — were up. Lumentum and Arista Networks, two popular optical stocks, were showing resilience.

Samsung is the world’s largest producer of NAND and DRAM chips. Once considered low-value commodity inputs to tech products, NAND and DRAM prices have exploded over the last six months amid a hyperscaler scramble to secure chips that can manage the surfeit of data produced by AI.

The same dynamics have made memory plays like Sandisk, Western Digital, and Micron some of the best-performing stocks in the S&P 500 over the last 12 months.

But other than Seagate Technology Holdings, those stocks were down Tuesday as of 11:15 a.m. ET, as the surge in oil prices and ongoing war with Iran muted much of the AI data center trade excitement. Bellwethers like Nvidia and hyperscalers like Oracle and Meta were struggling early, as were data center input makers like Corning and Coherent, AI power plays like GE Vernova, Vertiv Holdings, and even hard-hat builders of the shells that house all those AI servers.

On the other hand, some so-called optical stocks — makers of fiber-optic connections that quickly shift data between users, hyperscalers, and all around data centers themselves — were up. Lumentum and Arista Networks, two popular optical stocks, were showing resilience.

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