Kaz Nejatian, then Shopify COO, now Opendoor CEO (Ramsey Cardy/Getty Images)

Key takeaways from Opendoor’s Q3 earnings call

A lot was said, and none of it gave the stock a boost.

11/7/25 8:43AM

Opendoor Technologies reported Q3 earnings that were not well received by the market, with shares cratering in after-hours trading on Thursday and continuing to be mired deep in the red on Friday.

“Deep in the red” also describes its income statement in Q3 and the outlook for Q4: adjusted EBITDA of -$33 million was well below the Street’s estimate for -$23.7 million as well as Opendoor’s previous guidance. In Q4, that’s poised to swell to “the high $40 millions to mid $50 millions,” per management.

Here are our top takeaways from the Q3 earnings call that followed the release of these results:

The operational strategy is to buy more homes, faster, and flip them for a small profit with haste.
- CEO Kaz Nejatian said the weekly number of homes the company entered into contracts to buy went from 120 on his first day of work to 230 by the end of October.
- “Our business plan is simple: buy and sell lots and lots of homes quickly, be operationally excellent, and increase our value to each homeowner by launching services like mortgage, insurance, and warranty,” he said.
There’s low-hanging fruit on expenses to cut:
- Nejatian said he was “shocked” to learn that one of Opendoor’s biggest 1H expenses were payments to a well-known consulting firm.
- Per Chairman Keith Rabois and EMJ Capital’s Eric Jackson, Opendoor had about 1,400 employees when Nejatian joined the company. The CEO said that number is now down to 1,100.
The majority of its 2030 convertible notes were refinanced with equity.
- “Earlier today, we reached an agreement to retire the majority of these notes,” Nejatian said, adding that this avoids a situation where the company could have been forced to repay these in full before the end of 2025.
Real estate tokenization is certainly in the cards, timeline TBD:
- “I don’t want to say we’re going to do this next week, but I generally can’t imagine a future where real estate is not tokenized. And I also can’t imagine a future where Opendoor isn’t leading innovation in real estate,” Nejatian said. “We’ve begun talking with partners about how we can work across stablecoins and tokenization. The work is active. We’re very serious about it, and we’ll tell you more when we launch something.”
Perhaps most importantly (and discouragingly, for Opendoor bulls), nothing that was said during this call was considered to be a meaningfully positive catalyst by markets:
- Shares ended the conference call a little lower than where they were when it kicked off.

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Matt Phillips1h

Western Digital jumps ahead of Nvidia earnings report later today

Hard disk drive maker Western Digital is on track for one of its best days of the month Wednesday, on relatively little news.

Traders may be trying to get ahead of any expected share bump related to Nvidia’s earnings extravaganza after the close of trading today.

Western Digital saw its best day — up almost 17% — in almost six years in early January, after Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang’s keynote speech at the Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas underscored the surge in demand for memory that AI is producing.

Western Digital executives have previously talked up the fact that some of the company’s products are qualified for use in Nvidia server stacks.

Fellow hard disk drive maker Seagate Technology Holdings is also having one having one of its best days in February.

Is Nvidia dead money, or a coiled spring?

Western Digital executives have previously talked up the fact that some of the company’s products are qualified for use in Nvidia server stacks.

Fellow hard disk drive maker Seagate Technology Holdings is also having one having one of its best days in February.

Luke Kawa2h

Nvidia and AMD’s different deals show that while AI chatbots may be commoditized, the chips aren’t

One enigma I’m noticing in the AI boom?

The publicly available chatbots, effectively the best universal manifestation of artificial intelligence we have, feel more or less the same to me. That is, commoditized.

Maybe this is a skill issue; I’m not the most high-tech person. That being said, I have experienced substantial performance gaps between paid and free versions, and am aware that more specialized tools offer better tailored results for certain tasks (i.e. Claude Code). But still, I’m Gemini-first, but polyAImorous when it comes to chatbot usage.

Based on how Big Tech companies treat GPUs, the inputs used to train and run many chatbots, those seem to be anything but commoditized.

Two of the AI chip deals reached by Advanced Micro Devices, the No. 2 in GPUs, have involved the company forking over the rights to potentially massive equity stakes in the company in exchange for securing these buyers. First was OpenAI, then Tuesday’s pact with Meta.

Lisa Su and co. seemingly can’t get customers on normal terms the way Jensen Huang and co. can.

Nvidia, which reports earnings Wednesday after the close, enjoys a dominant market position. Sure, it subsidizes its customers’ acquisitions of chips, but it could be argued that this is just a way in investing in its own success by trying to make sure the company has as many viable future clients as possible. Nvidia and Meta’s “multi-year, multi-generational strategic partnership” that will see the social media giant buy millions of GPUs in the former didn’t involve the chip designer needing to give Mark Zuckerberg any potential equity exposure.

Nvidia’s offerings are able to command a significant premium because its hardware not only comes with a track record, but it’s also attached to the CUDA software system that AI developers are comfortable with.

In a sense, some of the best industry comps here are found in energy (something AI data centers chock-full of GPUs need a lot of!).

Different forms of crude can be refined into the same kind of gasoline; your car won’t know the difference. Similarly, hydropower, solar power, or natural gas can all be used to generate electricity, and as long as the lights are on, people won’t be able to tell which one it was.

Matt Phillips3h

The vast majority of S&P 500 companies are talking about AI this earnings season, at least in broad strokes.

But precious few are disclosing hard numbers on how AI makes them more profitable, according to a review of Q4 earnings calls conducted by Goldman Sachs analysts.

In a note published late Tuesday, analysts with the bank found that just 1% of the members of the S&P 500 have “quantified the impact of AI on earnings.” That’s despite 70% of the blue-chip index’s members “broadly discussing AI” on earnings calls.

They wrote:

“In earnings calls, many companies have grouped AI with broader automation and productivity initiatives, making it difficult to disentangle the impact of AI specifically. 10% of S&P 500 companies quantified the productivity boost from an AI on a specific use case during their 4Q earnings calls, particularly among developers. Our economists recently highlighted softness in tech employment in recent months.”

Only two new companies quantified an AI productivity impact on their current earnings, Goldman found. One was financial analytics and ratings powerhouse S&P Global. The other was water treatment and commercial cleaning products manufacturer Ecolab.

The gap between the share of executives yapping about AI and the dearth of detail on the technology’s bottom-line impact may be part of the reason investors have gotten slightly jittery about AI during the recent flurry of earnings reports, with volatility on baskets of AI-related stocks picking up over the last month.

Investors know that tech giants are boosting the amount they plan to spend on AI investments in the coming year to over $600 billion. They also know that customers who will buy AI services from Amazon , Google, and Microsoft — to name a few — will have to see real benefits from using it.

If they don’t, the customers won’t keep paying. And there goes the hyperscalers’ ROI.

Anyway, we’re still waiting to see those benefits.

Claire Yubin Oh5h

Albemarle and fellow lithium miners jump on Zimbabwe export ban

Lithium miners Albemarle Corp., Lithium Argentina, Lithium Americas, Mineral Resourcesand Sociedad Quimica y Minera are all rising in early trading on Wednesday after Zimbabwe suspended its export of all raw minerals and lithium concentrates.

The latest move accelerates a ban that was reportedly expected to come into effect starting January 2027, and will remain in place until further notice. As the top African producer of the metal, Zimbabwe exported some 1.13 million metric tons, or $514 million worth, of lithium-bearing spodumene concentrate in 2025.

Zimbabwe’s mines minister said the ban would remain in effect until companies comply with government requirements, per Bloomberg.

The ban adds further supply pressure into a market that’s already seen prices squeeze higher, with benchmark lithium futures roughly doubling since the end of October 2025. That’s spurred the shares of companies like Albemarle, which has gained more than 90% over the same time frame — a rare bright spot in an EV supply chain that’s generally been pretty depressed recently.

Some Wall Street analysts have gotten more bullish on the sector, too. Albemarle scored an upgrade from Bank of America analysts earlier this month, who cited the lithium market’s improvement in structural fundamentals, as Chinese supply restrictions combined with growing demand for utility-scale battery storage applications provide further support for lithium prices. Futures prices for lithium carbonate remain above $18 per kilogram, having been as high as $21 per kilogram in January.