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Moderna says its expects $1.9 billion in 2025 sales amid better-than-expected vaccination rate

Moderna, which has been bleeding money since 2023, said it expects to break even in 2028.

J. Edward Moreno

Moderna said its COVID-19 business did better than expected last year, driven by lower-than-anticipated declines in vaccination rates despite attacks from the Trump administration.

The company expects to report total 2025 revenue of $1.9 billion, on the high end of its latest guidance of between $1.6 billion and $2 billion. Moderna is best known for being tapped by the US government to quickly develop a vaccine for COVID-19 in 2020, a product that remains its single source of revenue.

Speaking at the JPMorgan Healthcare Conference in San Francisco, Moderna Chief Financial Officer James Mock told reporters that US vaccination rates in the retail sector fell by roughly 26% year over year in 2025, which is on the lower end of the 20% to 40% decline the company predicted. This comes as the administration has narrowed its guidance for who it recommends gets vaccinated for COVID-19.

Moderna, which has been bleeding money since 2023, said it expects to break even in 2028.

The company has been on an aggressive cost-cutting campaign and has new products in its pipeline, including a norovirus vaccine and a combination COVID-19/flu vaccine.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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