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Yiwen Lu

Molina Healthcare soars, bucking industry trend

Shares of Molina Healthcare climbed 17.7%, making it one of the biggest gainers among S&P 500 companies. 

The company reported sales that topped Wall Street estimates, mostly driven by premiums that its Medicaid patients paid. Premium revenues were $9.7 million, a year-on-year increase of 18%. That differentiates Molina Healthcare from its peers: Competitors Elevance Health and UnitedHealth dove when they warned about elevated medical costs that weighed on profits, as state governments backtracked from a Covid-era policy that allowed insurers to keep all patients enrolled. This means insurers can on longer receive premiums from a relatively healthier population.

To be sure, Molina Healthcare’s Medical Care Ratio, which compares the total medical expenses an insurer paid to its premium revenues, was still higher than estimates. But the company seems to be less negatively impacted by the policy changes, also in part because the state of California retroactively lowered the rate that insurers had to pay for 2024. The company’s CFO called the policy “highly unusual.”

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Trump’s “impossible trinity” on AI and energy

Everyone loves a good trilemma.

In economics, the most famous of the genre was developed by Fleming and Mundell, which posits that you can only successfully achieve two of the following three objectives: the free flow of capital, a fixed exchange rate, and independent sovereign monetary policy.

George Pollack, senior US policy analyst at Signum Global Advisors, proposed a trilemma of his own to describe the Trump administration’s competing policy aims as a red-hot AI boom devours power and leaves households miffed by rising electricity bills.

He wrote:

“This note flags what we believe to be a simple reality whose salience will continue growing in US politics in coming months: the Trump administration, in its remaining three years will face a trilemma as the nation waits for its energy bet to play out — proving able to achieve two, but not all three, of the following objectives:

-Fulfill AI’s energy-appetite.
-Keep repressing renewable sources of energy.
-Appease American electricity consumers.”

Trump AI trilemma

As for evidence that the Trump administration is taking a fossil fuels-first approach while stunting renewables, Pollack pointed to the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which shrinks access to tax credits for green energy, as well as the end to the federal pause on liquefied natural gas export permits. However, it would be “inaccurate and unfair” to blame President Trump’s policies for surging electricity prices in recent months, he added.

While the government has pursued the expansion of nuclear power as a way to solve this trilemma, the long lead times involved are incongruent with a short-term fix.

Palantir reports Q3 earnings results

Palantir climbs toward a fresh record high ahead of earnings report

Traders and Wall Street are waiting to see whether Palantir’s latest numbers after market close today will continue to beat expectations.

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